Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Sven Waschitzki
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–3 L
14 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#16 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against RB Leipzig in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact .
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Marcus Ingvartsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Dominik Szoboszlai is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' GOAL! Marcus Ingvartsen fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Danny da Costa. He replaces Silvan Widmer on 46 minute.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 63' The referee calls foul for Emil Forsberg. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 66' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 66 minute. Lee Jaesung leaves to be changed by Leandro Barreiro Martins.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 73' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Xaver Schlager by Kevin Kampl on 73 minute.
  • 77' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 77.
  • 79' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 80' Assisted by Marcel Halstenberg with the perfectly-timed delivery and Christopher Nkunku makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 82' The whistle greets Edimilson Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Bell.
  • 86' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Angelo Fulgini is hanging Anton Stach on the field on 86 minute.
  • It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.7 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw38% RB Leipzig30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
70%
Draw or RB Leipzig
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw64% RB Leipzig18%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.4%
0 – 1
15.6%
1 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 3
1.3%
3 – 0
1.3%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 20% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 20% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
50%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.