1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stefan Lupp
- Referee Felix Brych
- Referee Mark Borsch
- Referee Sven Waschitzki
- Referee Mike Pickel
- Referee Soren Storks
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | SC Freiburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | Hertha BSC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–4 | L |
| 04 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Celtic FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 27 |
| 19 | Conceded | 13 |
| -1 | GD | +14 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig is underway.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Emil Forsberg has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Christopher Nkunku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 21 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Abdou Diallo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 447 games and scored 425 goals.
- 45' Brilliant from the ! Marcus Ingvartsen makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
- 46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Silvan Widmer leaves to be changed by Danny da Costa.
- 51' Stefan Bell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 56' Robin Zentner, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a Yellow card on 63.
- 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Lee Jaesung trudges off to be replaced by Leandro Barreiro Martins on 66 minutes.
- 71' Hungary international Dominik Szoboszlai has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Kampl. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 73 minute.
- 77' Alexander Hack picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
- 80' The deadlock is broken! Christopher Nkunku gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
- 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Edimilson Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Bell to step up.
- 86' Angelo Fulgini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anton Stach on 86 minute.
- The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 42
- 9
- 3
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 46'
- 11
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Angelo Fulgini 86'
Bench
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 86'
- 1
-
16
Stefan Bell ↑ 82'
-
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↑ 66'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 46'
- 5
- 4
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 66'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 39
- 18
- 37
- 11
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 79'
- 4
- 23
- 8
-
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 73'
- 17
Bench
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 79'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 73'
- 22
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 73'
- 2
- 32
- 38
- 34
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or RB Leipzig
70%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

