Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Sven Waschitzki
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–3 L
14 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#12 Position #4
10 Points 18
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
18 Scored 27
19 Conceded 13
-1 GD +14
1.11 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig is underway.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Emil Forsberg has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Christopher Nkunku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 21 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Abdou Diallo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 447 games and scored 425 goals.
  • 45' Brilliant from the ! Marcus Ingvartsen makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Silvan Widmer leaves to be changed by Danny da Costa.
  • 51' Stefan Bell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 56' Robin Zentner, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 63' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a Yellow card on 63.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Lee Jaesung trudges off to be replaced by Leandro Barreiro Martins on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Hungary international Dominik Szoboszlai has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Kampl. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 73 minute.
  • 77' Alexander Hack picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 80' The deadlock is broken! Christopher Nkunku gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Edimilson Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Bell to step up.
  • 86' Angelo Fulgini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anton Stach on 86 minute.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0530% Draw23% RB Leipzig47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or RB Leipzig
70%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw37% RB Leipzig41%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 13% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 19% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 16% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.