Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Sven Waschitzki
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–3 L
14 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#10 Position #3
40 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +19
1.18 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' RB Leipzig looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 10' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Germany international Marcel Halstenberg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Magnificent from Marcus Ingvartsen! That is 43 goals in 316 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Silvan Widmer by Danny da Costa on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Martin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a Yellow card on 63.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Lee Jaesung as he leaves the pitch. Leandro Barreiro Martins steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 73' Kevin Kampl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Xaver Schlager at the 73 minute mark.
  • 77' A moment of madness from Alexander Hack on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 79' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 80' Brilliant from the ! Christopher Nkunku makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 80.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Edimilson Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Bell to step up.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Anton Stach as he leaves the pitch. Angelo Fulgini steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.34 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw27% RB Leipzig39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
61%
Draw or RB Leipzig
66%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw45% RB Leipzig31%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.