Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Sven Waschitzki
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–3 L
14 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#6 Position #9
7 Points 6
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 5
+4 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host RB Leipzig — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' RB Leipzig come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Brilliant from the ! Marcus Ingvartsen makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Silvan Widmer as he leaves the pitch. Danny da Costa steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Willi Orban made 515 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' Emil Forsberg was booked on 63.
  • 66' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Lee Jaesung departs to be replaced by Leandro Barreiro Martins.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Xaver Schlager departs to be replaced by Kevin Kampl.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alexander Hack.
  • 79' Yussuf Poulsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emil Forsberg at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Christopher Nkunku does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 82' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Stefan Bell comes on to replace Edimilson Fernandes.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Fulgini. He replaces Anton Stach on 86 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw26% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0530% Draw43% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.