Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
3 2
Full Time
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Markus Sinn
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
09 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
02 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
10 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
04 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
90% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and Hertha BSC get this one started.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hertha BSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Agustin Rogel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and Hertha BSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' Magnificent from Emil Forsberg! That is 80 goals in 108 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 30' Abdou Diallo makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 32' It’s a booking for Hertha BSC player. Marc-Oliver Kempf gets a Yellow card.
  • 37' RB Leipzig seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Amadou Haidara is booked for RB Leipzig — Yellow card on 38.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Marvin Plattenhardt is booked for Hertha BSC — Yellow card on 41.
  • 45' What a moment for Willi Orban! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Hertha BSC. Marvin Plattenhardt is replaced by Maximilian Mittelstadt.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The 29-year-old Jonjoe Kenny has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' A change in the Hertha BSC ranks — Marco Richter exits the field as Chidera Ejuke enters on 59.
  • 61' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Mohamed Simakan by Benjamin Henrichs on 61 minute.
  • 62' Dodi Lukebakio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 62' RB Leipzig make a change. Amadou Haidara trudges off to be replaced by Marcel Halstenberg on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Kevin Kampl picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' Goal! Stevan Jovetic scores his 23 goal in 422 matches.
  • 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' Yussuf Poulsen is replacing Emil Forsberg for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 77' Ivan Sunjic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 82' Hertha BSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Davie Selke. He replaces Suat Serdar on 83 minute.
  • 84' The France Christopher Nkunku breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 4-2!
  • 89' Marco Richter is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hertha BSC tonight.
  • 90' Agustin Rogel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha BSC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + RB Leipzig to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig62% Draw21% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or Hertha BSC
38%
RB Leipzig or Hertha BSC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig44% Draw39% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.