Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
1. FC Union Berlin 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Hamburger SV

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
21 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–3 W
13 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–4 L
31 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
23 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
15 Aug FC Gutersloh A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
16 Aug FK 03 Pirmasens A 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Hamburger SV
#17 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.42 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 95% + Under — clean sheet likely 88%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin31% Draw50% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes12% 0% No88%
Avg goals/match: 0.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 48%
52%
± 1.5 18%
82%
± 2.5 5%
95%
± 3.5 1%
99%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
69%
1. FC Union Berlin or Hamburger SV
50%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin12% Draw81% Hamburger SV7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
18.3%
0 – 1
12.2%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 1
1.7%
0 – 2
1.7%
1 – 2
1.1%
3 – 0
0.5%
2 – 2
0.4%
3 – 1
0.3%
0 – 3
0.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 20% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 13% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
74%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
66%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.