Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 29 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
16 Aug FK 03 Pirmasens A 2–1 W
18 May SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–3 L
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W
03 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
17 May VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–2 L
11 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
03 May VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV FC St. Pauli 1910
#13 Position #18
38 Points 26
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
40 Scored 29
54 Conceded 60
-14 GD -31
1.12 PPG 0.76
26% Win % 18%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/
16-30
/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.46 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or FC St. Pauli 1910 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV40% Draw28% FC St. Pauli 191032%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
68%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
60%
Hamburger SV or FC St. Pauli 1910
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV29% Draw46% FC St. Pauli 191025%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
28%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.