Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 29 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L
24 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
16 Aug FK 03 Pirmasens A 2–1 W
18 May SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–3 L
10 May SSV Ulm 1846 H 6–1 W
03 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
17 May VfL Bochum 1848 H 0–2 L
11 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
03 May VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.37 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or FC St. Pauli 1910 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV37% Draw28% FC St. Pauli 191035%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
65%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
63%
Hamburger SV or FC St. Pauli 1910
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV26% Draw46% FC St. Pauli 191028%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.