PFK Sochi vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PFK Sochi vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Fisht.
- PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 11 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | FK Orenburg | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Rubin Kazan | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | FK Rodina Moskva | 11 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Jun | FK Ural | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 May | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 May | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
57%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Brayan Gil | 4 G | 1 A |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | 2 G | |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 G | 1 A |
| Aymane Mourid | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! PFK Sochi welcome FK Baltika Kaliningrad for this crunch clash at Fisht.
- 5' Nikolay Zabolotniy has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 177 appearances.
- 6' Assisted by Luka Dordevic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Martin Kramaric makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Sochi in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
- 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' Montenegro international Luka Dordevic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' FK Baltika Kaliningrad ring the changes. Dmitriy Barkov has done his job and it is now time for Gedeon Guzina to step up.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Baltika Kaliningrad needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' PFK Sochi are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 66' The PFK Sochi manager makes a substitution. Martin Kramaric departs to be replaced by Miguel Silveira.
- 71' PFK Sochi currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 76' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Kirill Malyarov is replaced by Aslan Dudiev on 76 minute.
- 77' FK Baltika Kaliningrad player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' Angelo Henriquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tamerlan Musaev on 80 minute.
- 82' Magnificent from Vanja Drkusic! That is 5 goals in 376 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 87' That is a card for PFK Sochi. Artur Yusupov will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Amir Batyrev. He replaces Artur Yusupov on 89 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. PFK Sochi take all three points.
Lineups
PFK Sochi Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
6
Artur Yusupov ↓ Amir Batyrev 89'
-
11
Luka Dordevic ↓ Ivan Ignatjev 66'
- 7
- 45
- 84
- 8
-
34
Timofey Margasov ↓ Kirill Zaika 80'
- 17
- 12
- 19
Bench
- 1
-
10
Ivan Ignatjev ↑ 66'
- 71
-
24
Miguel Silveira ↑ 66'
- 20
-
27
Kirill Zaika ↑ 80'
-
18
Nikita Burmistrov ↑ 46'
- 33
- 9
- 26
-
28
Amir Batyrev ↑ 89'
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 23
- –
- 10
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↓ Aslan Dudiev 76'
- 22
- 1
- 26
- 20
- 19
-
11
Dmitriy Barkov ↓ Gedeon Guzina 46'
Bench
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↑ 46'
- 21
- 14
- 59
-
–
Angelo Henriquez ↑ 80'
- 6
- 67
- 89
- 5
- 17
- 7
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 76'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vanja Drkusic | 1 |
| Martin Kramaric | 1 |
Head to Head
PFK Sochi Form
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6
PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PFK Sochi win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
PFK Sochi or Draw
85%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
41%
PFK Sochi or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PFK Sochi win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi
| Handicap | PFK Sochi covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

