Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 23 Jul 2023 · 17:00 UTC Fisht HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
PFK Sochi 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 2–0 W
03 Jun FK Ural A 0–1 L
27 May FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D
22 May FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–4 L
14 May FK Rostov H 1–0 W
08 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul PFK Sochi A 0–2 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#16 Position #6
22 Points 46
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
29 Scored 38
60 Conceded 21
-31 GD +17
0.73 PPG 1.53
20% Win % 37%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and PFK Sochi launch into their encounter with FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martin Kramaric makes it 1-0.
  • 11' It is a cagey affair so far. PFK Sochi in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
  • 16' Timofey Margasov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PFK Sochi so far.
  • 21' PFK Sochi currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' PFK Sochi started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Dmitriy Barkov as he leaves the pitch. Gedeon Guzina steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
  • 51' PFK Sochi have won 246 goals from 177 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 66' A tactical swap from PFK SochiMiguel Silveira on, Martin Kramaric off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' PFK Sochi are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Baltika Kaliningrad's shape.
  • 76' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Kirill Malyarov is withdrawn and Aslan Dudiev gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Maksim Kuzmin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 80 minute. Tamerlan Musaev leaves to be changed by Angelo Henriquez.
  • 82' GOAL! Vanja Drkusic fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Artur Yusupov on 87 minutes.
  • 89' The PFK Sochi manager makes a substitution. Artur Yusupov departs to be replaced by Amir Batyrev.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi44% Draw29% FK Baltika Kaliningrad27%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
56%
PFK Sochi or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi28% Draw51% FK Baltika Kaliningrad21%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
37%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.