Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 23 Jul 2023 · 17:00 UTC Fisht HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
PFK Sochi 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 2–0 W
03 Jun FK Ural A 0–1 L
27 May FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D
22 May FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–4 L
14 May FK Rostov H 1–0 W
08 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul PFK Sochi A 0–2 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#16 Position #6
22 Points 46
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
29 Scored 38
60 Conceded 21
-31 GD +17
0.73 PPG 1.53
20% Win % 37%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Fisht. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Fisht. FK Baltika Kaliningrad seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 6' Martin Kramaric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFK Sochi and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PFK Sochi side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Sergey Pryakhin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 60 appearances.
  • 31' Bolivia international Roberto Fernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PFK Sochi that had 177 games and scored 246 goals.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Dmitriy Barkov as he leaves the pitch. Gedeon Guzina steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Evgeniy Latyshonok made 394 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gedeon Guzina, as he is very good at scoring at Fisht with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' PFK Sochi make a change. Martin Kramaric trudges off to be replaced by Miguel Silveira on 66 minutes.
  • 71' FK Baltika Kaliningrad fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 76' FK Baltika Kaliningrad ring the changes. Kirill Malyarov has done his job and it is now time for Aslan Dudiev to step up.
  • 77' Maksim Kuzmin is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 80' The whistle greets Tamerlan Musaev as he departs to be replaced by Angelo Henriquez.
  • 82' Magnificent from Vanja Drkusic! That is 5 goals in 369 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 87' PFK Sochi receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 89' Amir Batyrev gets the nod from PFK Sochi. He replaces Artur Yusupov and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PFK Sochi to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi44% Draw29% FK Baltika Kaliningrad27%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
56%
PFK Sochi or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi28% Draw51% FK Baltika Kaliningrad21%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
37%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.