Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Orlando City SC

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 4 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Rodrigo Schlegel 23' R

Cesar Araujo 30' Y

Y 56' Bret Halsey

Wilder Cartagena 62' Y

Robin Jansson 64' Y

Y 66' Ian Murphy

YR 78' Bret Halsey

Y 90' Gerardo Valenzuela

Michael Halliday 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC 15 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC 2023-03-05 Orlando City SC 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-06-24 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Orlando City SC 2022-03-13 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
27 Apr	Toronto FC	H	1–2	L
20 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	3–2	W
30 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
23 Mar	Austin FC	H	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Orlando City SC	A	1–0	W
27 Apr	Colorado Rapids SC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
13 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC		FC Cincinnati
#11	Position	#6
20	Points	26
18	Played	18
6 / 2 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
30	Scored	45
47	Conceded	44
-17	GD	+1
1.11	PPG	1.44
33%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/2

16-30

5/6

31-45

–/6

46-60

6/3

61-75

5/2

76+

1/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda

11 G

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati is underway.
1' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 0-1.
6' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
11' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
16' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
23' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Rodrigo Schlegel gets a card.
28' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! David Brekalo comes on to replace Martin Ojeda.
30' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Cesar Araujo will be fuming at that decision.
35' USA international Bret Halsey has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
40' It looks surprising Orlando City SC does not make any changes. Gerardo Valenzuela has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
45' Orlando City SC make a change. Dagur THorhallsson trudges off to be replaced by Michael Halliday on 45 minutes.
50' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
52' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Lodeiro. He replaces Rafael Santos on 52 minute.
55' Bret Halsey gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin and will look to change the dynamic.
56' Controversy at the stadium! Bret Halsey argues furiously but the card stands.
61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
62' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Wilder Cartagena gets a card.
62' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gerardo Valenzuela is hanging Luciano Acosta on the field on 62 minute.
63' Kevin Kelsy is replacing Corey Baird for the FC Cincinnati side.
64' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Robin Jansson gets a card.
66' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 66.
70' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Facundo Torres Perez exits the field as Luis Muriel enters on 70.
75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Facundo Torres Perez made 21 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bret Halsey.
80' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Yuya Kubo has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
85' Wilder Cartagena has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
87' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Luca Orellano by Yamil Asad on 87 minute.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gerardo Valenzuela on 90.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

15
Rodrigo Schlegel
11
Martin Ojeda ↓ David Brekalo 28'
1
Pedro Gallese
16
Wilder Cartagena
3
Rafael Santos ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 52'
6
Robin Jansson
77
Ivan Angulo
10
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Luis Muriel 70'
5
Cesar Araujo
13
Duncan McGuire
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Michael Halliday 45'

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Bret Halsey 55'
21
Matt Miazga
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Alvas Powell 80'
11
Corey Baird ↓ Kevin Kelsy 63'
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 62'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Yamil Asad 87'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

2
Alvas Powell ↑ 80'
4
Nick Hagglund
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 87'
1
Alec Kann
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 55'
14
Kipp Keller
–
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 63'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 62'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	4
Nani	4
Tesho Akindele	3
Junior Urso	3
Brenner da Silva	2
Ramiro Enrique	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Martin Ojeda	2

Head to Head

Orlando City SC Form

2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-04-27 Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FC L 2024-04-20 Montreal Impact FC 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2024-04-13 D.C. United SC 2–3 Orlando City SC W 2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-03-23 Orlando City SC 2–0 Austin FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-04-27 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-04-13 Montreal Impact FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-30 Charlotte FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.81 Orlando City SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.49 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Orlando City SC29% Draw23% FC Cincinnati48%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw

52%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

71%

Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Orlando City SC24% Draw36% FC Cincinnati40%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.5%

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 3

6.1%

2 – 1

5.5%

2 – 3

5.4%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

1 – 4

3.8%

0 – 3

3.5%

2 – 4

3.4%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap	Orlando City SC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	14%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	19%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	15%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.