FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Obinna Nwobodo 32' Y

Matt Miazga 45' Y

Y 70' Frankie Amaya

Luca Orellano 74' Y

Y 90' Serge Ngoma

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W
10 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–1	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	4–0	W
16 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
10 Mar	FC Dallas	H	2–1	W
03 Mar	Houston Dynamo	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#8
26	Points	25
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
45	Scored	29
44	Conceded	39
+1	GD	-10
1.44	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
3' A stunning finish from Yuya Kubo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
8' Evan Louro, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
19' Brilliant from the ! Frankie Amaya makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 19.
24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
29' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
32' That looks like a foul for a card for Obinna Nwobodo.
37' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
42' The 24-year-old Elias Manoel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
45' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 45.
46' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Kipp Keller is replaced by Ian Murphy.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wikelmann Carmona suffering a number of foals already.
60' What composure from Dante Vanzeir! The Belgium international strokes it home. 1-2.
64' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo is replaced by Corey Baird.
66' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — John Tolkin exits the field as Kyle Duncan enters on 66.
70' A moment of madness from Frankie Amaya on 70 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
74' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Luca Orellano will be fuming at that decision.
74' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Aaron Boupendza departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
75' Pavel Bucha makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
78' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Emil Forsberg exits the field as Daniel Edelman enters on 78.
83' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
85' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Yamil Asad on, Luca Orellano off on 85 minutes.
88' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 88 minute. Wikelmann Carmona leaves to be changed by Noah Eile.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Serge Ngoma on 90 minutes.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 64'
2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund
–
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
1
Alec Kann
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 74'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 75'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 66'
3
Noah Eile ↑ 88'
17
Cameron Harper
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 66'
75
Daniel Edelman ↑ 78'
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-30 Charlotte FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC W 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 D.C. United SC D 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-03-23 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-03-16 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 FC Dallas W 2024-03-03 Houston Dynamo 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.57 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati49% Draw23% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

71%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

51%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati41% Draw35% New York Red Bulls24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.2%

3 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

4.3%

4 – 1

2 – 3

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

4 – 2

3.6%

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	16%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	19%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	13%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.