FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Obinna Nwobodo 32' Y

Matt Miazga 45' Y

Y 70' Frankie Amaya

Luca Orellano 74' Y

Y 90' Serge Ngoma

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W
10 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–1	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	4–0	W
16 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
10 Mar	FC Dallas	H	2–1	W
03 Mar	Houston Dynamo	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#11
46	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
67	Scored	48
75	Conceded	62
-8	GD	-14
1.35	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against New York Red Bulls in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
3' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuya Kubo makes it 1-0.
8' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
13' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
19' Frankie Amaya makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
29' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
32' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 32.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luca Orellano, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
42' Matt Miazga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
45' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 45.
46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Ian Murphy comes on to replace Kipp Keller.
51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 264 games and scored 381 goals.
56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
60' Sensational shot from Dante Vanzeir. New York Red Bulls is back in the lead.
64' The whistle greets Obinna Nwobodo as he departs to be replaced by Corey Baird.
66' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace John Tolkin by Kyle Duncan on 66 minute.
70' Frankie Amaya has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
74' Luca Orellano is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
74' Sergio Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aaron Boupendza on 74 minute.
75' Gerardo Valenzuela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pavel Bucha at the 75 minute mark.
78' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Emil Forsberg has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Edelman to step up.
83' USA international Dylan Nealis has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
85' Yamil Asad has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Orellano on 85 minute.
88' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Wikelmann Carmona exits the field as Noah Eile enters on 88.
90' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Serge Ngoma gets a card.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for New York Red Bulls players.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 64'
2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund
–
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
1
Alec Kann
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 74'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 75'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 66'
3
Noah Eile ↑ 88'
17
Cameron Harper
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 66'
75
Daniel Edelman ↑ 78'
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-30 Charlotte FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC W 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 D.C. United SC D 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-03-23 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-03-16 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 FC Dallas W 2024-03-03 Houston Dynamo 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.9 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.54 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati43% Draw26% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

69%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

57%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati34% Draw41% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.8%

1 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

4.6%

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.