FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | New York City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Mar | FC Dallas | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' Yuya Kubo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 8' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 283 games and scored 418 goals.
- 13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andres Reyes made 214 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 19' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Frankie Amaya makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 32' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 32.
- 37' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Matt Miazga argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Kipp Keller trudges off to be replaced by Ian Murphy on 46 minutes.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
- 60' What composure from Dante Vanzeir! The Belgium international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 64' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo is replaced by Corey Baird.
- 66' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 66 minute. John Tolkin leaves to be changed by Kyle Duncan.
- 70' Frankie Amaya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
- 74' Luca Orellano is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
- 74' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Aaron Boupendza departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
- 75' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Pavel Bucha is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 78' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Daniel Edelman on, Emil Forsberg off on 78 minutes.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' FC Cincinnati make a change. Luca Orellano trudges off to be replaced by Yamil Asad on 85 minutes.
- 88' Noah Eile is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wikelmann Carmona at the 88 minute mark.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Serge Ngoma is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. New York Red Bulls take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
- 21
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↓ Sergio Santos 74'
- 7
- 36
- 10
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Corey Baird 64'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Yamil Asad 85'
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Ian Murphy 46'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 64'
- 2
- 4
-
–
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 74'
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 75'
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Daniel Edelman 78'
-
9
Lewis Morgan ↓ Serge Ngoma 88'
- 8
- 15
-
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Elias Manoel 66'
- 12
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Kyle Duncan 66'
- 4
- 31
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Noah Eile 88'
- 5
Bench
- 18
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 66'
-
3
Noah Eile ↑ 88'
- 17
-
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 66'
-
75
Daniel Edelman ↑ 78'
-
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
- 16
- 2
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2024-04-06
FC Cincinnati
1–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2024-03-30
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2024-03-23
New York Red Bulls
4–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2024-03-16
Columbus Crew SC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-03-10
New York Red Bulls
2–1
FC Dallas
W
2024-03-03
Houston Dynamo
1–2
New York Red Bulls
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.42
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
53%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

