FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Obinna Nwobodo 32' Y

Matt Miazga 45' Y

Y 70' Frankie Amaya

Luca Orellano 74' Y

Y 90' Serge Ngoma

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W
10 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–1	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	4–0	W
16 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–3	L
10 Mar	FC Dallas	H	2–1	W
03 Mar	Houston Dynamo	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#9	Position	#10
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
55	Scored	34
64	Conceded	48
-9	GD	-14
1.27	PPG	1.27
31%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls has kicked off!
3' Yuya Kubo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
8' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wikelmann Carmona, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
18' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
19' The deadlock is broken! Frankie Amaya gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
29' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Dylan Nealis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
32' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 32.
37' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
42' Dante Vanzeir, a Belgium , has 10 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' A moment of madness from Matt Miazga on 45 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
46' Ian Murphy is replacing Kipp Keller for the FC Cincinnati side.
51' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
56' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
60' Dante Vanzeir doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
64' Corey Baird is replacing Obinna Nwobodo for the FC Cincinnati side.
66' Kyle Duncan gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces John Tolkin and will look to change the dynamic.
70' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Frankie Amaya gets a card.
74' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
74' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Aaron Boupendza is replaced by Sergio Santos on 74 minute.
75' The whistle greets Pavel Bucha as he departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
78' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Daniel Edelman on 78 minute.
83' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
85' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yamil Asad is hanging Luca Orellano on the field on 85 minute.
88' Noah Eile is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wikelmann Carmona at the 88 minute mark.
90' Serge Ngoma picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 64'
2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund
–
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
1
Alec Kann
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 74'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 75'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 66'
3
Noah Eile ↑ 88'
17
Cameron Harper
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 66'
75
Daniel Edelman ↑ 78'
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 88'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-30 Charlotte FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC W 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 D.C. United SC D 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-03-23 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-03-16 Columbus Crew SC 3–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 FC Dallas W 2024-03-03 Houston Dynamo 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.03 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls 75% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati44% Draw25% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

69%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

56%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati36% Draw40% New York Red Bulls24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

0 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.