Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | Austin FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 Feb | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Mar | FC Dallas | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 25 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| -21 | GD | -7 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 27% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City SC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
- 5' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. John Tolkin made 283 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 21' What a moment for Lewis Morgan! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
- 26' Rafael Santos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' Orlando City SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
- 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elias Manoel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
- 44' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Peter Stroud gets a card.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Andres Reyes.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Orlando City SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 60' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 63' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Cameron Harper comes on to replace Dennis Gjengaar.
- 65' Wilder Cartagena gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Rafael Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Luis Muriel has done his job and it is now time for Martin Ojeda to step up.
- 68' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Andres Reyes is replaced by Noah Eile.
- 73' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ivan Angulo.
- 76' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — John Tolkin on, Kyle Duncan off on 76 minutes.
- 81' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Cesar Araujo. He replaces Nicolas Lodeiro on 82 minute.
- 87' It is a cagey affair so far. Orlando City SC in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
- 89' Jack Lynn adds to his 0 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 90' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Rodrigo Schlegel is replaced by David Brekalo.
- It finishes all square. Orlando City SC and New York Red Bulls share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Martin Ojeda 66'
- 15
-
14
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Cesar Araujo 82'
- 1
- 3
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Jack Lynn 82'
- 77
- 10
- 13
- 17
Bench
-
11
Martin Ojeda ↑ 66'
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 65'
- 8
- 31
- 26
-
5
Cesar Araujo ↑ 82'
-
27
Jack Lynn ↑ 82'
-
4
David Brekalo ↑ 90'
- 14
Coach
Óscar Pareja
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ John Tolkin 76'
- 9
- 8
- 15
-
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Elias Manoel 63'
- 12
- 4
- 31
- 19
- 5
- 2
Bench
- 18
-
47
John Tolkin ↑ 76'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 63'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 63'
- 22
- 48
- 16
- 33
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Facundo Torres Perez | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Christian Casseres Jr. | 3 |
| Dom Dwyer | 2 |
| Brian White | 2 |
| Derrick Etienne | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2024-03-30
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2024-03-23
Orlando City SC
2–0
Austin FC
W
2024-03-17
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
2024-03-10
Orlando City SC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
L
2024-03-02
Internacional CF Miami
5–0
Orlando City SC
L
2024-02-25
Orlando City SC
0–0
Montreal Impact FC
D
New York Red Bulls Form
2024-03-30
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2024-03-23
New York Red Bulls
4–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2024-03-16
Columbus Crew SC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-03-10
New York Red Bulls
2–1
FC Dallas
W
2024-03-03
Houston Dynamo
1–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2024-02-25
Nashville SC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.81
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Orlando City SC or New York Red Bulls 76% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
64%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
61%
Orlando City SC or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

