Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Atlanta United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ajani Fortune 68' Y

Y 84' Miles Robinson

Y 89' Pavel Bucha

Y 90' Luciano Acosta

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 17 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2022-04-16 Atlanta United FC 0–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	2–2	D
06 Apr	New York City FC	A	1–1	D
31 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–0	W
23 Mar	Toronto FC	A	0–2	L
17 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
13 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D
23 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		FC Cincinnati
#15	Position	#6
12	Points	26
18	Played	18
3 / 3 / 12	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
19	Scored	45
33	Conceded	44
-14	GD	+1
0.67	PPG	1.44
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/4

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/6

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

5 G

2 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gonzalo Pineda will be considering his options from the bench.
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 248 games and scored 361 goals.
25' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Matt Miazga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caleb Wiley, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
43' The crowd applauds Nick Hagglund as he leaves the pitch. Ian Murphy steps in for FC Cincinnati.
46' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Noah Cobb has done his job and it is now time for Ronald Hernandez to step up.
51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
56' Brooks Lennon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
59' The Argentina Thiago Almada breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 1-0!
60' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Daniel Rios by Georgios Giakoumakis on 60 minute.
61' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Edwin Mosquera is replaced by Xande Silva.
62' GOAL! Luca Orellano fires home to make it 1-1!
64' The Argentina Luciano Acosta breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 1-2!
68' Ajani Fortune was booked on 68.
73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
76' Aaron Boupendza is ready to make an impact after coming on for Corey Baird at the 76 minute mark.
81' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Miles Robinson on 84.
86' Atlanta United FC make a change. Saba Lobzhanidze trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Wolff on 86 minutes.
89' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 89.
89' FC Cincinnati make a change. Luca Orellano trudges off to be replaced by Alvas Powell on 89 minutes.
90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' Pavel Bucha makes way for Malik Pinto at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
10
Thiago Almada
19
Daniel Rios ↓ Georgios Giakoumakis 60'
6
Bartosz Slisz
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Ajani Fortune 60'
20
Edwin Mosquera ↓ Xande Silva 61'
26
Caleb Wiley
24
Noah Cobb ↓ Ronald Hernandez 46'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Tyler Wolff 86'

Bench

13
Dax McCarty
16
Xande Silva ↑ 61'
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 46'
30
Nicolas Firmino
22
Josh Cohen
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 86'
21
Efrain Morales
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 60'
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↑ 60'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 76'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 89'
27
Yamil Asad
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 90'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 43'
14
Kipp Keller
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Luciano Acosta	4
Georgios Giakoumakis	2
Evander	2
Thiago Almada	2
Ezequiel Barco	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Miles Robinson	1

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2024-04-06 New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-03-31 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2024-03-23 Toronto FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC L 2024-03-17 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Orlando City SC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-04-13 Montreal Impact FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-03-30 Charlotte FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC W 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.67 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.13 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC31% Draw24% FC Cincinnati45%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.8

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

55%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

69%

Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC25% Draw39% FC Cincinnati36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

0 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	15%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	19%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.