Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | New York City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #8 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 67 |
| 60 | Conceded | 75 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Atlanta United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Corey Baird has been relatively quiet despite scoring 38 goals in his last 300 appearances.
- 25' Yuya Kubo, a Japan , has 27 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 264 games and scored 381 goals.
- 43' Ian Murphy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 43 minute mark.
- 46' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Noah Cobb by Ronald Hernandez on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Caleb Wiley has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' Thiago Almada has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
- 60' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Daniel Rios exits the field as Georgios Giakoumakis enters on 60.
- 61' Xande Silva gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Edwin Mosquera and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Luca Orellano doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 64' Against the run of play, Luciano Acosta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 68' The referee calls foul for Ajani Fortune. He receives a card.
- 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Edwin Mosquera, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 76' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Corey Baird is replaced by Aaron Boupendza on 76 minute.
- 81' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 84' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
- 86' Atlanta United FC make a change. Saba Lobzhanidze trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Wolff on 86 minutes.
- 89' Poor challenge from Pavel Bucha. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 89' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Luca Orellano by Alvas Powell on 89 minute.
- 90' Luciano Acosta is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Pavel Bucha makes way for Malik Pinto at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 4
- 1
- 10
- 19
- 6
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Ajani Fortune 60'
-
20
Edwin Mosquera ↓ Xande Silva 61'
- 26
-
24
Noah Cobb ↓ Ronald Hernandez 46'
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Tyler Wolff 86'
Bench
- 13
-
16
Xande Silva ↑ 61'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 46'
- 30
- 22
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 86'
- 21
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 60'
-
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↑ 60'
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Bret Halsey 90'
- 21
- 7
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Aaron Boupendza 76'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Ian Murphy 43'
- 10
- 1
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 89'
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 76'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 89'
- 27
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 90'
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 43'
- 14
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 22
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-04-20
Atlanta United FC
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-04-14
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-04-06
New York City FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-03-31
Atlanta United FC
3–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2024-03-23
Toronto FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2024-03-17
Atlanta United FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
64%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.