Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC St Andrew's Ground 18,710 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Kevin Nisbet
Jay Stansfield 53' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Josh Smith (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Millwall FC H 1–1 D
26 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
12 Aug Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
08 May Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
20 Aug Norwich City FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Bristol City FC H 0–1 L
05 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
08 May Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–4 L

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC Millwall FC
#10 Position #3
64 Points 83
46 Played 46
17 / 13 / 16 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
57 Scored 64
56 Conceded 49
+1 GD +15
1.39 PPG 1.80
37% Win % 52%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at St Andrew's Ground. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 6' Kevin Nisbet makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Millwall FC are in front.
  • 11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 16' It is a cagey affair so far. Birmingham City FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 3-4-3.
  • 21' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' Zian Flemming has been relatively quiet despite scoring 70 goals in his last 232 appearances.
  • 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' Shaun Hutchinson makes way for Wes Harding at the 32 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 37' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 42' Tom Bradshaw is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Birmingham City FC tonight.
  • 46' That is a Yellow card for Birmingham City FC. Juninho Bacuna will be fuming at that decision.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' What a strike from Jay Stansfield! The score is 1-1.
  • 57' Wes Harding was booked on 57.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Brooke Norton-Cuffy.
  • 64' Birmingham City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 72' Koji Miyoshi gets the nod from Birmingham City FC. He replaces Jay Stansfield and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Dan McNamara. He replaces Kevin Nisbet on 75 minute.
  • 76' Millwall FC ring the changes. Murray Wallace has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Longman to step up.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Krystian Bielik is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 82' Jordan James is replacing Juninho Bacuna for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Birmingham City FC! Emmanuel Longelo comes on to replace Keshi Anderson.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Millwall FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC40% Draw29% Millwall FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Millwall FC
60%
Birmingham City FC or Millwall FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC26% Draw50% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.