Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Tue 18 Apr 2023 · 19:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
10 Apr Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
07 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
18 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Millwall FC A 1–0 W
15 Apr Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
10 Apr Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
07 Apr Reading FC A 1–1 D
01 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #10
83 Points 64
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
64 Scored 57
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.39
52% Win % 37%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC41% Draw32% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
59%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC29% Draw53% Birmingham City FC18%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.