Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Darren Bond
- Assistant 1 Darren Cann
- Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Southampton FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 23 | Scored | 28 |
| 27 | Conceded | 14 |
| -4 | GD | +14 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
27%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Millwall FC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Michael Obafemi is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' Emanuel Aiwu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Seung-Ho Paik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' The whistle greets Duncan Watmore as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Longman.
- 64' Ryan Leonard catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
- 69' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 73' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Koji Miyoshi departs to be replaced by George Hall.
- 78' Birmingham City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Max Bird scoring 1 goals.
- 83' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Lukas Jutkiewicz on, Alex Pritchard off on 83 minutes.
- 87' The referee calls foul for Joe Bryan. He receives a card.
- 90' Against the run of play, Japhet Tanganga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lee Buchanan on 90.
- 90' Another change for Millwall FC made on 90 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Brooke Norton-Cuffy.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Millwall FC take all three points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Ryan Longman 60'
- 15
- 23
- 20
- 10
- 21
- 8
- 6
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
- 3
- 33
- 24
- 2
-
11
Ryan Longman ↑ 60'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 90'
- 25
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 29
- 4
- 21
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Jordan James 83'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ George Hall 73'
- 44
- 3
- 28
- 12
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 83'
- 20
- 8
- 17
- 2
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 83'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 73'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ben Thompson | 3 |
| Jay Stansfield | 2 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Jake Clarke-Salter | 1 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-03-09
Millwall FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-03-05
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-03-02
Birmingham City FC
3–4
Southampton FC
L
2024-02-24
Ipswich Town FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-02-17
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Sunderland AFC
W
2024-02-13
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
66%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

