Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Darren Bond
- Assistant 1 Darren Cann
- Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Southampton FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 83 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 64 | Scored | 57 |
| 49 | Conceded | 56 |
| +15 | GD | +1 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 52% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at The Den. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC.
- 5' The 29-year-old Seung-Ho Paik has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Marc Roberts has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joe Bryan, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 35' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Duncan Watmore suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 60' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and Ryan Longman gets his opportunity.
- 64' Poor challenge from Ryan Leonard. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 69' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 73' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Koji Miyoshi has done his job and it is now time for George Hall to step up.
- 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Alex Pritchard has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Jutkiewicz to step up.
- 87' Joe Bryan was booked on 87.
- 90' GOAL! Japhet Tanganga fires home to make it 1-0!
- 90' Lee Buchanan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Brooke Norton-Cuffy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zian Flemming on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Ryan Longman 60'
- 15
- 23
- 20
- 10
- 21
- 8
- 6
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
- 3
- 33
- 24
- 2
-
11
Ryan Longman ↑ 60'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 90'
- 25
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 29
- 4
- 21
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Jordan James 83'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ George Hall 73'
- 44
- 3
- 28
- 12
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 83'
- 20
- 8
- 17
- 2
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 83'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 73'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ben Thompson | 3 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Jay Stansfield | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Japhet Tanganga | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-03-09
Millwall FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-03-05
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-03-02
Birmingham City FC
3–4
Southampton FC
L
2024-02-24
Ipswich Town FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-02-17
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Sunderland AFC
W
2024-02-13
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
54%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

