Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Japhet Tanganga 90' 1–0
Ryan Leonard 64' Y
Joe Bryan 87' Y
Y 90' Lee Buchanan

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
05 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
24 Feb Southampton FC A 2–1 W
17 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–2 L
14 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
05 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
02 Mar Southampton FC H 3–4 L
24 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–3 L
17 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
13 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #10
83 Points 64
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
64 Scored 57
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.39
52% Win % 37%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at The Den. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 5' The 29-year-old Seung-Ho Paik has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Marc Roberts has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joe Bryan, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 35' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Duncan Watmore suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and Ryan Longman gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Ryan Leonard. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Koji Miyoshi has done his job and it is now time for George Hall to step up.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 83' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Alex Pritchard has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Jutkiewicz to step up.
  • 87' Joe Bryan was booked on 87.
  • 90' GOAL! Japhet Tanganga fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 90' Lee Buchanan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Brooke Norton-Cuffy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zian Flemming on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Birmingham City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC46% Draw29% Birmingham City FC25%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
54%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC29% Draw52% Birmingham City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.