Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Darren Bond
- Assistant 1 Darren Cann
- Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Southampton FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 11 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 12 |
| 15 | Conceded | 11 |
| +0 | GD | +1 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 38% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC is underway.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Birmingham City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Michael Obafemi, a Ireland forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' A quiet spell here at The Den. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Jay Stansfield is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Birmingham City FC so far.
- 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 50' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Birmingham City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 55' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Ryan Longman on, Duncan Watmore off on 60 minutes.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Ryan Leonard. He receives a card.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Birmingham City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' Birmingham City FC make a change. Koji Miyoshi trudges off to be replaced by George Hall on 73 minutes.
- 78' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Mowbray might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Pritchard departs to be replaced by Lukas Jutkiewicz.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Joe Bryan.
- 90' Japhet Tanganga doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lee Buchanan on 90.
- 90' Another change for Millwall FC made on 90 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Brooke Norton-Cuffy.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Millwall FC 1-0 Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Ryan Longman 60'
- 15
- 23
- 20
- 10
- 21
- 8
- 6
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
- 3
- 33
- 24
- 2
-
11
Ryan Longman ↑ 60'
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 90'
- 25
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 29
- 4
- 21
-
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Jordan James 83'
-
11
Koji Miyoshi ↓ George Hall 73'
- 44
- 3
- 28
- 12
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 83'
- 20
- 8
- 17
- 2
-
19
Jordan James ↑ 83'
-
35
George Hall ↑ 73'
Coach
Tony Mowbray
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ben Thompson | 3 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Jake Clarke-Salter | 1 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Jay Stansfield | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2024-03-09
Millwall FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-03-05
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2024-03-02
Birmingham City FC
3–4
Southampton FC
L
2024-02-24
Ipswich Town FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2024-02-17
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Sunderland AFC
W
2024-02-13
Birmingham City FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
55%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

