Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2025-26
Birmingham City FC
3 – 5
2 – 4 pen
Full Time
Leeds United FC
Sun 15 Feb 2026 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper

Head-to-Head

3
4
Birmingham City FC 7 games · Avg 3.7 goals Leeds United FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC 2024-01-01 Leeds United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-08-12 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Leeds United FC 2019-12-29 Birmingham City FC 4–5 Leeds United FC 2019-10-19 Leeds United FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Leeds United FC H 3–5 L
10 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–0 D
07 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
31 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
Leeds United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Birmingham City FC A 5–3 W
10 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 3–1 W
31 Jan Arsenal FC H 0–4 L
26 Jan Everton FC A 1–1 D
17 Jan Fulham FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Che Adams 3
Lukas Jutkiewicz 3
Che Adams 2
Luke Ayling 1
Stuart Dallas 1
Ezgjan Alioski 1
Jack Harrison 1
Daniel James 1

Head to Head

2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC 2024-01-01 Leeds United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-08-12 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Leeds United FC 2019-12-29 Birmingham City FC 4–5 Leeds United FC 2019-10-19 Leeds United FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC L 2026-02-10 Birmingham City FC 0–0 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-02-07 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Leicester City FC W 2026-01-31 Oxford United FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC W 2026-01-24 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2026-01-20 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC W

Leeds United FC Form

2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC W 2026-02-10 Chelsea FC 2–2 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-06 Leeds United FC 3–1 Nottingham Forest FC W 2026-01-31 Leeds United FC 0–4 Arsenal FC L 2026-01-26 Everton FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2026-01-17 Leeds United FC 1–0 Fulham FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Leeds United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC32% Draw26% Leeds United FC42%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Leeds United FC
68%
Birmingham City FC or Leeds United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC25% Draw41% Leeds United FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.