Thursday , 15 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Rangers FC A 1–3 L
19 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–1 D
15 Sep Hibernian FC A 1–0 W
05 Sep Aberdeen FC A 0–0 D
02 Sep St. Mirren FC H 0–1 L
29 Aug Dundee United FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Celtic FC H 0–2 L
19 Sep Dundee FC A 1–2 L
15 Sep Aberdeen FC H 0–4 L
05 Sep Rangers FC A 0–1 L
02 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
30 Aug St. Mirren FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Motherwell FC
#12 Position #9
5 Points 8
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
7 Scored 9
18 Conceded 13
-11 GD -4
0.63 PPG 1.00
13% Win % 25%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Motherwell FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Motherwell FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

H2H

Predictions

1.22 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Motherwell FC 75% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

Kilmarnock FC30% Draw25% Motherwell FC45%

Both Teams to Score

Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.11

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Motherwell FC
70%
Kilmarnock FC or Motherwell FC
75%

Half-Time Result

Kilmarnock FC20% Draw43% Motherwell FC37%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.