Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Fir Park 4,941 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke Armstrong 77' 1–0
Callum Slattery 83' 2–0
Luke Armstrong 86' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
03 May Dundee FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #11
54 Points 28
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
52 Scored 37
29 Conceded 65
+23 GD -28
1.64 PPG 0.85
42% Win % 18%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

3-4-3

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC64% Draw21% Kilmarnock FC15%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
36%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC51% Draw40% Kilmarnock FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 21% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 23% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.