Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Fir Park.
- Motherwell FC 33 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
- Assistant 1 David McGeachie
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 May | Dundee FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Motherwell FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Celtic FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Motherwell FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 54 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 14 / 12 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 52 | Scored | 37 |
| 29 | Conceded | 65 |
| +23 | GD | -28 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 42% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Motherwell FC and Kilmarnock FC get this one started.
- 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robbie Deas.
- 46' Luke Armstrong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harry Paton at the 46 minute mark.
- 60' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Rory McKenzie has done his job and it is now time for Liam Polworth to step up.
- 63' Another change for Motherwell FC made on 63 minute. Tony Watt leaves to be changed by Moses Ebiye.
- 71' Calvin Ramsay is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- 77' What a moment for Luke Armstrong! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 80' David Watson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 83' Callum Slattery does the damage! The net is bulging and Motherwell FC surge ahead!
- 86' What a strike from Luke Armstrong! The score is 3-0.
- The final score is 3-0.
Lineups
Motherwell FC Lineups
3-4-3Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Callum Slattery | 3 |
| Kevin van Veen | 3 |
| Liam Polworth | 2 |
| Luke Armstrong | 2 |
| Devante Cole | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Paul McGinn | 1 |
Head to Head
Motherwell FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27
Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Motherwell FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Motherwell FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Motherwell FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
36%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC
| Handicap | Motherwell FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 21% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

