Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Fir Park 4,941 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke Armstrong 77' 1–0
Callum Slattery 83' 2–0
Luke Armstrong 86' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
03 May Dundee FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#8 Position #12
8 Points 5
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
9 Scored 6
11 Conceded 15
-2 GD -9
1.14 PPG 0.71
29% Win % 14%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Motherwell FC are 8th (8 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

3-4-3

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC61% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
39%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC47% Draw40% Kilmarnock FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 20% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 23% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.