Saturday , 14 November 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2026
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Fir Park 4,941 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke Armstrong 77' 1–0
Callum Slattery 83' 2–0
Luke Armstrong 86' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 9.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
03 May Dundee FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
12 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L
10 May Dundee FC H 3–2 W
03 May St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
26 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Apr Motherwell FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#9 Position #12
13 Points 9
13 Played 13
3 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 8
15 Scored 13
21 Conceded 29
-6 GD -16
1.00 PPG 0.69
23% Win % 15%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Motherwell FC are 9th (13 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/6
46-60
2/4
61-75
2/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Motherwell FC
Alex Lowry 3 G 1 A
Lukas Fadinger 3 G
Tawanda Maswanhise 2 G 2 A
Seb Palmer-Houlden 2 G
Ibrahim Said 2 G
Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

3-4-3

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC57% Draw24% Kilmarnock FC19%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
43%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC43% Draw43% Kilmarnock FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.