Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2026 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Fir Park.
- Motherwell FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)
- Assistant 1 David McGeachie
- Assistant 2 Andrew Milne (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 May | Dundee FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Motherwell FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | Dundee FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | St. Johnstone FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Celtic FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Motherwell FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 9 | Scored | 6 |
| 11 | Conceded | 15 |
| -2 | GD | -9 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 29% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
Motherwell FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Motherwell FC are 8th (8 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Motherwell FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Motherwell FC
| Alex Lowry | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | 1 G | 2 A |
| Regan Charles-Cook | 1 G | |
| Lukas Fadinger | 1 G | |
| Seb Palmer-Houlden | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Fir Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robbie Deas on 29.
- 46' Motherwell FC make a change. Harry Paton trudges off to be replaced by Luke Armstrong on 46 minutes.
- 60' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Rory McKenzie is replaced by Liam Polworth.
- 63' The Motherwell FC bench stirs into life. Tony Watt is withdrawn and Moses Ebiye gets his opportunity.
- 71' Calvin Ramsay gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Danny Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Luke Armstrong does the damage! The net is bulging and Motherwell FC surge ahead!
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Watson on 80.
- 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Callum Slattery makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 86' What a moment for Luke Armstrong! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
- Another three points for Motherwell FC.
Lineups
Motherwell FC Lineups
3-4-3Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Callum Slattery | 3 |
| Kevin van Veen | 3 |
| Liam Polworth | 2 |
| Luke Armstrong | 2 |
| Devante Cole | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Curtis Main | 1 |
| Liam Gordon | 1 |
Head to Head
Motherwell FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21
Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Motherwell FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Motherwell FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Motherwell FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
39%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC
| Handicap | Motherwell FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

