Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 4–0 W
10 Jan Hibernian FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
30 Dec Celtic FC H 2–0 W
27 Dec Rangers FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Dundee FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–4 L
10 Jan Livingston FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan Hibernian FC H 1–3 L
30 Dec Dundee FC A 1–2 L
27 Dec St. Mirren FC A 0–0 D
20 Dec Falkirk FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #11
54 Points 28
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
52 Scored 37
29 Conceded 65
+23 GD -28
1.64 PPG 0.85
42% Win % 18%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.51 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC73% Draw17% Kilmarnock FC10%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
27%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC56% Draw37% Kilmarnock FC7%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.6%
3 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
5 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.6%
5 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 22% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
54%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.