Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel McFarlane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
23 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 3–3 D
09 Aug St. Mirren FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
18 May Ross County FC A 1–1 D
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Dundee FC H 0–0 D
10 Aug Hibernian FC A 2–2 D
02 Aug Livingston FC H 2–2 D
18 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #11
54 Points 28
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
52 Scored 37
29 Conceded 65
+23 GD -28
1.64 PPG 0.85
42% Win % 18%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Motherwell FC to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC60% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
40%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC46% Draw40% Kilmarnock FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.8%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.