Sunday , 16 August 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel McFarlane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
23 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 3–3 D
09 Aug St. Mirren FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
18 May Ross County FC A 1–1 D
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Dundee FC H 0–0 D
10 Aug Hibernian FC A 2–2 D
02 Aug Livingston FC H 2–2 D
18 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
14 May Motherwell FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#3 Position #12
4 Points 0
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 2
2 Scored 4
1 Conceded 9
+1 GD -5
2.00 PPG 0.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Motherwell FC are 3rd (4 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Motherwell FC to win 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC66% Draw19% Kilmarnock FC15%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
34%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC54% Draw35% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 20% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.