Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–3 L
09 Nov Celtic FC A 0–4 L
01 Nov Falkirk FC A 1–3 L
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
26 Oct Rangers FC A 1–3 L
18 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Kilmarnock FC A 3–1 W
09 Nov Aberdeen FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Dundee United FC H 2–0 W
25 Oct Livingston FC A 2–1 W
18 Oct Falkirk FC H 1–2 L
05 Oct Celtic FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Motherwell FC
#11 Position #4
28 Points 54
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 7
37 Scored 52
65 Conceded 29
-28 GD +23
0.85 PPG 1.64
18% Win % 42%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Motherwell FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.9 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC19% Draw23% Motherwell FC58%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
42%
Draw or Motherwell FC
81%
Kilmarnock FC or Motherwell FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC13% Draw41% Motherwell FC46%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 23% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 20% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.