Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 6 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | St. Mirren FC | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Motherwell FC | 6 | 8 |
| 6 | Dundee FC | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Hibernian FC | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk FC | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Dundee United FC | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | St. Mirren FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Dundee United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 09 Aug | Celtic FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 02 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Falkirk FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Dundee FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | Dundee United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 4 | Points | 12 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 1 / 1 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 7 |
| -9 | GD | +6 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (4 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Elton Kabangu | 1 |
| Marley Watkins | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-09-15
Falkirk FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-09-06
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Dundee FC
W
2026-09-03
Hibernian FC
1–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-08-29
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
St. Johnstone FC
W
2026-08-09
Heart of Midlothian FC
4–0
Dundee United FC
W
2026-08-01
Aberdeen FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
Predictions
0.9
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.95
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 65%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
35%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
84%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
0 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
9%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 3
7.9%
0 – 4
6.5%
1 – 1
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 4
5.8%
0 – 5
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 5
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 6% | 92% |
| -0.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| +0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +1 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| +1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +2 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| +2.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
6%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

