Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 11 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Manuela Nicolosi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk FC | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 12 | 14 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen FC | 11 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian FC | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | St. Mirren FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Dundee United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 09 Aug | Celtic FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | Falkirk FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Dundee FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | Dundee United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 9 | Points | 20 |
| 12 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 3 |
| 13 | Scored | 24 |
| 28 | Conceded | 17 |
| -15 | GD | +7 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 17% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/3
61-75
2/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 5 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Cathal McCarthy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 10.
- 15' Bailey Rice has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' Jamie McCart doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 21' With 1 assists to his name this season, Calvin Miller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
- 32' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Harry Milne on, Stuart Findlay off on 32 minutes.
- 37' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' JJ Williams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Claudio Braga on 59 minute.
- 63' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' Aaron Tshibola is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bailey Rice at the 67 minute mark.
- 69' Calvin Miller makes way for Sabah Kerjota at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 74' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 76' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 76 minute. Tyreece John-Jules leaves to be changed by Mark O'Hara.
- 81' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 82' Rory McKenzie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Lowery at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' Kilmarnock FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Stephen Kingsley makes it 1-1.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Christian Borchgrevink.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Tom Lowery ↓ Rory McKenzie 82'
- 14
- 2
- 11
- 10
- 12
- 8
-
49
Bailey Rice ↓ Aaron Tshibola 67'
- 9
- 21
- 4
Bench
-
5
Mark O'Hara ↑ 76'
- 19
-
36
Aaron Tshibola ↑ 67'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 82'
- 37
- 20
- 39
- 27
- 40
Coach
Neil McCann
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
7
Calvin Miller ↓ Sabah Kerjota 69'
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↓ Harry Milne 32'
-
22
Tomas Bent Magnusson ↓ Ageu 59'
- 5
-
15
Joshua McPake ↓ Sabri Guendouz 59'
- 1
- 21
-
10
Claudio Braga ↓ JJ Williams 59'
- 78
- 2
Bench
- 31
- 30
-
9
JJ Williams ↑ 59'
-
19
Sabri Guendouz ↑ 59'
- 23
-
18
Harry Milne ↑ 32'
-
29
Sabah Kerjota ↑ 69'
- 74
-
8
Ageu ↑ 59'
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2026-09-19
Kilmarnock FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2026-09-15
Falkirk FC
2–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2026-09-06
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Dundee FC
W
2026-09-03
Hibernian FC
1–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2026-08-29
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
St. Johnstone FC
W
2026-08-09
Heart of Midlothian FC
4–0
Dundee United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
42%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| +1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +2 | 53% | 20% | 28% |
| +2.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

