Thursday , 10 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Wembley 84,506 HT 45' · FT 45'
Oliver McBurnie 90+5' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
11 May Millwall FC A 2–0 W
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
12 May Southampton FC A 1–2 L
09 May Southampton FC H 0–0 D
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC is underway.
  • 5' John Egan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Hull City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Semi Ajayi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Hull City AFC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Ivor Pandur has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' It’s high time Sergej Jakirović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' Hull City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kim Hellberg might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Strelec, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' Oliver McBurnie picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • It finishes all square. Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC share the spoils 1-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC43% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC28%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
57%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC27% Draw52% Middlesbrough FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.