Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Racecourse Ground.
- Wrexham AFC 46 games · 71 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Oliver Langford
- Assistant 1 Emily Carney (England)
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Southampton FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Watford FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Wrexham AFC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 71 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 19 / 14 / 13 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 69 | Scored | 72 |
| 65 | Conceded | 47 |
| +4 | GD | +25 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 41% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Wrexham AFC are 7th (71 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wrexham AFC to score. At the same time, Middlesbrough FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 4' What a strike from Tommy Conway! The score is 0-1.
- 9' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker David Strelec scoring 1 goals.
- 14' Wrexham AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 19' Middlesbrough FC is showing some good football. However, Middlesbrough FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 28' What an equalizer from Josh Windass!
- 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wrexham AFC that had 115 games and scored 101 goals.
- 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' Goal! Sam Smith scores his 62 goal in 366 matches.
- 43' What an equalizer from David Strelec!
- 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
- 53' Wrexham AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Middlesbrough FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 63' It’s high time Phil Parkinson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 68' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Oliver Rathbone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matt Targett suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' Dominic Hyam has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Wrexham AFC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 21
- 37
- 24
- 15
- 10
- 28
- 20
- 5
- 12
- 14
- 2
Bench
- 19
- 27
- 18
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 47
- 7
- 1
Coach
Phil Parkinson
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2
- 3
- 16
- 6
- 12
- 13
- 11
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
Bench
- 25
- 8
- 27
- 20
- 22
- 45
- 14
- 32
- 23
Coach
Kim Hellberg
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David Strelec | 1 |
| Tommy Conway | 1 |
| Josh Windass | 1 |
| Sam Smith | 1 |
Head to Head
Wrexham AFC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Wrexham AFC or Draw
62%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
63%
Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC
| Handicap | Wrexham AFC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

