Saturday , 14 November 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Racecourse Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Tommy Conway
Josh Windass 28' 1–1
Sam Smith 41' 2–1
2–2 43' David Strelec

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Emily Carney (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 17.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
Wrexham AFC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–2 D
26 Apr Coventry City FC A 1–3 L
21 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–0 W
18 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
07 Apr Southampton FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Middlesbrough FC
#15 Position #2
18 Points 29
15 Played 15
4 / 6 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
18 Scored 30
20 Conceded 19
-2 GD +11
1.20 PPG 1.93
27% Win % 53%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Wrexham AFC are 15th (18 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
Kieffer Moore 5 G 2 A
Jacques Ekomie 2 G
Danny Imray 1 G 1 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Racecourse Ground!
  • 4' Against the run of play, Tommy Conway has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 19' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kim Hellberg will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Josh Windass doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 33' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 38' Alan Browne has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' A goal from the England international Sam Smith! He fires home on 41 to make it 2-1!
  • 43' A stunning finish from David Strelec — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 48' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dan Scarr suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' It looks surprising Wrexham AFC does not make any changes. Dael Fry has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 78' George Thomason is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wrexham AFC tonight.
  • 83' Callum Doyle is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wrexham AFC so far.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wrexham AFC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC35% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
60%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
65%
Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC25% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.