Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Racecourse Ground HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Tommy Conway
Josh Windass 28' 1–1
Sam Smith 41' 2–1
2–2 43' David Strelec

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Emily Carney (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox

Head-to-Head

2
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Middlesbrough FC H 2–2 D
26 Apr Coventry City FC A 1–3 L
21 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–0 W
18 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
07 Apr Southampton FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Middlesbrough FC
#7 Position #5
71 Points 80
46 Played 46
19 / 14 / 13 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
69 Scored 72
65 Conceded 47
+4 GD +25
1.54 PPG 1.74
41% Win % 48%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wrexham AFC are 7th (71 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wrexham AFC to score. At the same time, Middlesbrough FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' What a strike from Tommy Conway! The score is 0-1.
  • 9' Middlesbrough FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker David Strelec scoring 1 goals.
  • 14' Wrexham AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 19' Middlesbrough FC is showing some good football. However, Middlesbrough FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 24' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 28' What an equalizer from Josh Windass!
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wrexham AFC that had 115 games and scored 101 goals.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' Goal! Sam Smith scores his 62 goal in 366 matches.
  • 43' What an equalizer from David Strelec!
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 53' Wrexham AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Middlesbrough FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 63' It’s high time Phil Parkinson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 68' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Oliver Rathbone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matt Targett suffering a number of foals already.
  • 88' Dominic Hyam has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC37% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
62%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
63%
Wrexham AFC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC27% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
18%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.