Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–4 L
29 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
25 Nov Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
22 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
08 Nov Portsmouth FC H 3–2 W
04 Nov Derby County FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Hull City AFC A 4–1 W
29 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–4 L
22 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#6 Position #5
73 Points 80
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
70 Scored 72
66 Conceded 47
+4 GD +25
1.59 PPG 1.74
46% Win % 48%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC25% Draw24% Middlesbrough FC51%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
49%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
75%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC19% Draw40% Middlesbrough FC41%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
13%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.