Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–4 L
29 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
25 Nov Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
22 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–3 L
08 Nov Portsmouth FC H 3–2 W
04 Nov Derby County FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Hull City AFC A 4–1 W
29 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
25 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–4 L
22 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC27% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC47%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
53%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC20% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC37%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.