Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 11 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 64' Mohamed Belloumi
0–2 79' Joe Gelhardt

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Hull City AFC H 0–2 L
09 May Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
02 May Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
24 Apr Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
21 Apr Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Millwall FC A 2–0 W
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Hull City AFC.
  • 5' Semi Ajayi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for John Egan. He receives a card.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Camiel Neghli, a Algeria , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Crooks made 391 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergej Jakirović will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Hull City AFC have won 436 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Charlie Hughes on 52.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Charlie Hughes. He receives a card.
  • 59' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Regan Slater has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' Mohamed Belloumi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Mohamed Belloumi.
  • 74' The 24-year-old Thierno Ballo has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' What a moment for Joe Gelhardt! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Femi Azeez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Joe Gelhardt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Hull City AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Hull City AFC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC34% Draw30% Hull City AFC36%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Hull City AFC
66%
Millwall FC or Hull City AFC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC24% Draw50% Hull City AFC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.