Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Watford FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 80 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 72 | Scored | 53 |
| 47 | Conceded | 65 |
| +25 | GD | -12 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 48% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Riverside Stadium that hosts another battle between Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC.
- 5' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 6' Middlesbrough FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Morgan Whittaker on 6.
- 11' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. David Strelec has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 16' Luke Ayling needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 21' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' Alex Bangura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nestor Irankunda made 233 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' Middlesbrough FC is showing some good football. However, Middlesbrough FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Goal! David Strelec scores his 14 goal in 63 matches.
- 46' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matt Targett is hanging Alex Bangura on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' GOAL! James Abankwah scores on 48. Assisted by Kevin Keben Biakolo
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Goal! Morgan Whittaker scores his 44 goal in 385 matches.
- 62' Othmane Maamma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia on 62 minute.
- 63' The whistle greets Adilson Malanda as he departs to be replaced by Dael Fry.
- 64' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 64 minute. Sontje Hansen leaves to be changed by Leo Castledine.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 75' Goal! Tommy Conway scores his 40 goal in 387 matches.
- 80' It’s high time Edward Still made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 82' Another change for Watford FC made on 82 minute. Marc Bola leaves to be changed by Tom Ince.
- 83' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Silvera is hanging Jeremy Sarmiento on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' The referee shows Watford FC player a card on 85.
- 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 12
- 13
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Matt Targett 46'
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Tommy Conway 63'
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↓ Leo Castledine 64'
- 31
- 18
-
29
Adilson Malanda ↓ Dael Fry 63'
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Sam Silvera 83'
- 14
Bench
-
3
Matt Targett ↑ 46'
- 16
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 63'
- 25
- 20
-
9
Tommy Conway ↑ 63'
-
22
Sam Silvera ↑ 83'
- 32
-
23
Leo Castledine ↑ 64'
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Nampalys Mendy ↓ Jack Grieves 63'
- 16
- 39
- 6
- 10
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Othmane Maamma 62'
-
15
Edoardo Bove ↓ Mamadou Doumbia 62'
- 1
- 4
- 25
- 9
Bench
- 12
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 8
- 34
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 63'
-
43
Jack Grieves ↑ 63'
-
42
Othmane Maamma ↑ 62'
- 3
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↑ 62'
Coach
Edward Still
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| David Strelec | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.21
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Watford FC
39%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

