Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Watford FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #20 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 16 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 10 |
| +4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Middlesbrough FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 6' Morgan Whittaker doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 11' The 25-year-old Solomon Brynn has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 16' It is a cagey affair so far. Middlesbrough FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
- 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Edward Still will be considering his options from the bench.
- 26' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' What a moment for David Strelec! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' The whistle greets Alex Bangura as he departs to be replaced by Matt Targett.
- 48' James Abankwah is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the defender.
- 53' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' The England Morgan Whittaker breaks the deadlock on 58 minutes. 3-1!
- 62' Othmane Maamma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Ngakia at the 62 minute mark.
- 63' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Adilson Malanda by Dael Fry on 63 minute.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Leo Castledine. He replaces Sontje Hansen on 64 minute.
- 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 74' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 75' Magnificent from Tommy Conway! That is 40 goals in 395 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 80' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 82' Marc Bola makes way for Tom Ince at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 83' The crowd applauds Jeremy Sarmiento as he leaves the pitch. Sam Silvera steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 85' Imran Louza catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 90' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- Middlesbrough FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 12
- 13
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Matt Targett 46'
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Tommy Conway 63'
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↓ Leo Castledine 64'
- 31
- 18
-
29
Adilson Malanda ↓ Dael Fry 63'
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Sam Silvera 83'
- 14
Bench
-
3
Matt Targett ↑ 46'
- 16
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 63'
- 25
- 20
-
9
Tommy Conway ↑ 63'
-
22
Sam Silvera ↑ 83'
- 32
-
23
Leo Castledine ↑ 64'
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Nampalys Mendy ↓ Jack Grieves 63'
- 16
- 39
- 6
- 10
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Othmane Maamma 62'
-
15
Edoardo Bove ↓ Mamadou Doumbia 62'
- 1
- 4
- 25
- 9
Bench
- 12
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 8
- 34
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 63'
-
43
Jack Grieves ↑ 63'
-
42
Othmane Maamma ↑ 62'
- 3
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↑ 62'
Coach
Edward Still
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
| Marcus Forss | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Watford FC
39%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

