Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Watford FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #20 |
| 29 | Points | 15 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 8 |
| 30 | Scored | 13 |
| 19 | Conceded | 23 |
| +11 | GD | -10 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Watford FC get us underway at Riverside Stadium.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 6' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Morgan Whittaker makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
- 16' Nestor Irankunda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 21' It’s high time Edward Still made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's shape.
- 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 36' Senegal international Nampalys Mendy has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The deadlock is broken! David Strelec gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 46' Alex Bangura makes way for Matt Targett at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
- 48' The Ireland defender James Abankwah breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-1!
- 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 58' Morgan Whittaker has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 62' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Othmane Maamma comes on to replace Jeremy Ngakia.
- 63' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Adilson Malanda departs to be replaced by Dael Fry.
- 64' The crowd applauds Sontje Hansen as he leaves the pitch. Leo Castledine steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luke Ayling made 365 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' James Abankwah picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 75' Tommy Conway is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Tom Ince. He replaces Marc Bola on 82 minute.
- 83' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Jeremy Sarmiento is replaced by Sam Silvera on 83 minute.
- 85' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Imran Louza gets a card.
- 90' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Watford FC
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 12
- 13
-
24
Alex Bangura ↓ Matt Targett 46'
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↓ Tommy Conway 63'
-
27
Sontje Hansen ↓ Leo Castledine 64'
- 31
- 18
-
29
Adilson Malanda ↓ Dael Fry 63'
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Sam Silvera 83'
- 14
Bench
-
3
Matt Targett ↑ 46'
- 16
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 63'
- 25
- 20
-
9
Tommy Conway ↑ 63'
-
22
Sam Silvera ↑ 83'
- 32
-
23
Leo Castledine ↑ 64'
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Nampalys Mendy ↓ Jack Grieves 63'
- 16
- 39
- 6
- 10
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Othmane Maamma 62'
-
15
Edoardo Bove ↓ Mamadou Doumbia 62'
- 1
- 4
- 25
- 9
Bench
- 12
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 8
- 34
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 63'
-
43
Jack Grieves ↑ 63'
-
42
Othmane Maamma ↑ 62'
- 3
-
20
Mamadou Doumbia ↑ 62'
Coach
Edward Still
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Watford FC
35%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

