Saturday , 14 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC Riverside Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Watford FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
11 Apr Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–2 D
03 Apr Millwall FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–3 L
18 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
11 Apr Oxford United FC A 0–2 L
06 Apr Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
03 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Watford FC
#2 Position #20
29 Points 15
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 8
30 Scored 13
19 Conceded 23
+11 GD -10
1.93 PPG 1.00
53% Win % 27%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Watford FC get us underway at Riverside Stadium.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Middlesbrough FC and Watford FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 6' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Morgan Whittaker makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 16' Nestor Irankunda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
  • 21' It’s high time Edward Still made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 26' Middlesbrough FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Watford FC's shape.
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' Senegal international Nampalys Mendy has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! David Strelec gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Alex Bangura makes way for Matt Targett at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Middlesbrough FC.
  • 48' The Ireland defender James Abankwah breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-1!
  • 53' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Morgan Whittaker has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Othmane Maamma comes on to replace Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 63' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Adilson Malanda departs to be replaced by Dael Fry.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Sontje Hansen as he leaves the pitch. Leo Castledine steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luke Ayling made 365 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' James Abankwah picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 75' Tommy Conway is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Tom Ince. He replaces Marc Bola on 82 minute.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Jeremy Sarmiento is replaced by Sam Silvera on 83 minute.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Imran Louza gets a card.
  • 90' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Watford FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC65% Draw20% Watford FC15%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Watford FC
35%
Middlesbrough FC or Watford FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC51% Draw38% Watford FC11%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 22% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.