Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC MKM Stadium 24,623 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Millwall FC H 0–0 D
02 May Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
11 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
02 May Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
24 Apr Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
21 Apr Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
10 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Millwall FC
#6 Position #3
73 Points 83
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
70 Scored 64
66 Conceded 49
+4 GD +15
1.59 PPG 1.80
46% Win % 52%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Hull City AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Ryan Leonard needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivor Pandur suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. John Egan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Lewie Coyle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' Hull City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Casper De Norre. He receives a card.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Belloumi, as he is very good at scoring at MKM Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' Hull City AFC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 4 matches with its main striker Joe Gelhardt scoring 1 goals.
  • 72' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Regan Slater made 57 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.14 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Millwall FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC36% Draw31% Millwall FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
67%
Draw or Millwall FC
64%
Hull City AFC or Millwall FC
69%

Half-Time Result

Hull City AFC24% Draw51% Millwall FC25%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.