Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 17:30 UTC The MKM Stadium 21,585 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+3' Alex Gilbert

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
11 Dec Watford FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Burnley FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
21 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
14 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hull City AFC to score. At the same time, Middlesbrough FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Hull City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Middlesbrough FC backline.
  • 10' Croatia international Ivor Pandur has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Barlaser.
  • 19' Joao Pedro Galvao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 388 games and scored 475 goals.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Middlesbrough FC have won 475 goals from 388 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Cody Drameh is replaced by Xavier Simons on 46 minute.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abdulkadir Omur is replaced by Abu Kamara.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 69' Ben Doak is ready to make an impact after coming on for Isaiah Jones at the 69 minute mark.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Hull City AFC! Chris Bedia comes on to replace Joao Pedro Galvao.
  • 75' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Harry Vaughan. He replaces Mason Burstow on 78 minute.
  • 83' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Carrick might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Harry Vaughan. He receives a card.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Alfie Jones on 87 minutes earns him a card. Hull City AFC will be frustrated.
  • 88' Alex Gilbert has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Azaz on 88 minute.
  • Another three points for Middlesbrough FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC34% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC37%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
63%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
66%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC25% Draw48% Middlesbrough FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.