Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 17:30 UTC The MKM Stadium 21,585 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+3' Alex Gilbert

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
11 Dec Watford FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Burnley FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
21 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
14 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Middlesbrough FC
#6 Position #5
73 Points 80
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
70 Scored 72
66 Conceded 47
+4 GD +25
1.59 PPG 1.74
46% Win % 48%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The MKM Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Barlaser.
  • 19' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Lewie Coyle has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 29' Hull City AFC currently sit 21 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Isaiah Jones has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Ivor Pandur needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' The Hull City AFC manager makes a substitution. Cody Drameh departs to be replaced by Xavier Simons.
  • 51' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hull City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Abdulkadir Omur is withdrawn and Abu Kamara gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Ben Doak comes on to replace Isaiah Jones.
  • 70' Chris Bedia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Pedro Galvao on 70 minute.
  • 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' Mason Burstow makes way for Harry Vaughan at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hull City AFC.
  • 83' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' Harry Vaughan was booked on 84.
  • 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alfie Jones on 87.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Alex Gilbert. He replaces Finn Azaz on 88 minute.
  • Full Time. Middlesbrough FC beats Hull City AFC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC31% Draw27% Middlesbrough FC42%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
58%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
69%
Hull City AFC or Middlesbrough FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC23% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
20%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.