Saturday , 5 September 2026

Holstein Kiel vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 18:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Holstein Kiel 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–1 D
05 May SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–0 W
27 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–3 L
20 Apr Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
13 Apr VfL Osnabrück H 4–0 W
06 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Holstein Kiel A 1–1 D
03 May 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
27 Apr FC Schalke 04 A 1–1 D
20 Apr SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–0 W
13 Apr SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 2–0 W
07 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 2 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Holstein-Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Holstein Kiel and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
  • 2' Benedikt Pichler has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 8' A tactical swap from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — Jona Niemiec on, Felix Klaus off on 8 minutes.
  • 13' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Holstein Kiel side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Oberdorf made 303 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is showing some good football. However, TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 38' Suliman Mustapha has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 438 appearances.
  • 41' Philipp Sander picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Benedikt Pichler is replaced by Nicolai Remberg.
  • 68' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Christos Tzolis gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Yannik Engelhardt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Christoph Daferner. He replaces Vincent Vermeij on 74 minute.
  • 75' Jann-Fiete Arp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shuto Machino on 75 minute.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 83' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Jordy de Wijs trudges off to be replaced by Suliman Mustapha on 83 minutes.
  • 86' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Lewis Holtby departs to be replaced by Joshua Mees.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Emmanuel Iyoha. He receives a card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel42% Draw30% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
71%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
58%
Holstein Kiel or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel27% Draw51% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf22%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
36%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.