Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
Hamburger SV 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
14 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–2 D
06 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–1 W
31 Mar SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 1–1 D
17 Mar SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 3–0 W
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
13 Apr VfL Osnabruck H 4–0 W
06 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 4–0 W
30 Mar FC Hansa Rostock H 2–0 W
16 Mar SV 07 Elversberg A 2–0 W
09 Mar Karlsruher SC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' The 25-year-old Immanuel Pherai has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 24' The supporters are chanting for Tom Rothe. He replaces Finn Porath on 24 minute.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 34' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' Patrick Erras needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 49' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' Tom Rothe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 64' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Okugawa. He replaces Levin Oztunali on 69 minute.
  • 72' Steven Skrzybski makes way for Nicolai Remberg at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lewis Holtby.
  • 73' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 73.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Bakery Jatta comes on to replace Ignace Van Der Brempt.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Holstein KielMarco Komenda on, Alexander Bernhardsson off on 80 minutes.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Hamburger SVAnssi Tapio Suhonen on, Jonas Meffert off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Dennis Hadzikadunic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
Hamburger SV or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV20% Draw48% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.