Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

3
Hamburger SV 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
14 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–2 D
06 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–1 W
31 Mar SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–1 D
17 Mar SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 3–0 W
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
13 Apr VfL Osnabrück H 4–0 W
06 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 4–0 W
30 Mar FC Hansa Rostock H 2–0 W
16 Mar SV 07 Elversberg A 2–0 W
09 Mar Karlsruher SC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 5 G 3 A
Jonas Therkelsen 2 G 1 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hamburger SV and Holstein Kiel is underway.
  • 5' Marko Ivezic is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Rothe made 535 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 24' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Finn Porath by Tom Rothe on 24 minute.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcel Rapp will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 49' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 54' Anssi Tapio Suhonen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 59' Tom Rothe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Jonas Meffert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Okugawa. He replaces Levin Oztunali on 69 minute.
  • 72' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolai Remberg is hanging Steven Skrzybski on the field on 72 minute.
  • 72' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Holtby.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Lewis Holtby is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 73.
  • 77' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Ignace Van Der Brempt by Bakery Jatta on 77 minute.
  • 80' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Alexander Bernhardsson has done his job and it is now time for Marco Komenda to step up.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Anssi Tapio Suhonen on, Jonas Meffert off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Dennis Hadzikadunic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Full Time. Holstein Kiel beats Hamburger SV

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
Hamburger SV or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV20% Draw48% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.