Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
Hamburger SV 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
14 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–2 D
06 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–1 W
31 Mar SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–1 D
17 Mar SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 3–0 W
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
13 Apr VfL Osnabruck H 4–0 W
06 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 4–0 W
30 Mar FC Hansa Rostock H 2–0 W
16 Mar SV 07 Elversberg A 2–0 W
09 Mar Karlsruher SC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Miro Muheim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Alexander Bernhardsson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Finn Porath exits the field as Tom Rothe enters on 24.
  • 29' Hamburger SV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
  • 34' Hamburger SV currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 54' Benedikt Pichler is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
  • 59' Goal! Tom Rothe scores his 9 goal in 521 matches.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
  • 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Jonas Meffert.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Masaya Okugawa comes on to replace Levin Oztunali.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Nicolai Remberg. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 72 minute.
  • 72' Lewis Holtby catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
  • 73' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Holtby.
  • 77' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Ignace Van Der Brempt is withdrawn and Bakery Jatta gets his opportunity.
  • 80' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Alexander Bernhardsson exits the field as Marco Komenda enters on 80.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Jonas Meffert is replaced by Anssi Tapio Suhonen.
  • 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carl Johansson made 2 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Holstein Kiel take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
Hamburger SV or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV20% Draw48% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.