Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Mar | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Hamburger SV | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | VfL Osnabrück | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Hamburger SV host Holstein Kiel — let the battle begin!
- 5' Hamburger SV are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's shape.
- 10' Miro Muheim has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 3 appearances.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 24' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Finn Porath is replaced by Tom Rothe on 24 minute.
- 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 39' Jonas Meffert is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
- 44' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 59' Assisted by Lewis Holtby with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tom Rothe makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcel Rapp will be considering his options from the bench.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Jonas Meffert.
- 69' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Masaya Okugawa on, Levin Oztunali off on 69 minutes.
- 72' Nicolai Remberg gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Steven Skrzybski and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Lewis Holtby. He receives a card.
- 73' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Lewis Holtby will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Ignace Van Der Brempt departs to be replaced by Bakery Jatta.
- 80' Marco Komenda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson on 80 minute.
- 82' Hamburger SV make a change. Jonas Meffert trudges off to be replaced by Anssi Tapio Suhonen on 82 minutes.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- Hamburger SV will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 14
-
21
Levin Oztunali ↓ Masaya Okugawa 69'
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 28
- 22
- 11
- 19
-
10
Immanuel Pherai ↓ Andras Nemeth 77'
Bench
-
17
Masaya Okugawa ↑ 69'
- 35
-
18
Bakery Jatta ↑ 77'
- 1
- 3
-
27
Jean-Luc Dompe ↑ 69'
- 33
-
20
Andras Nemeth ↑ 77'
-
36
Anssi Tapio Suhonen ↑ 82'
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 4
- 13
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Tom Rothe 24'
- 17
- 5
- 6
- 11
Bench
- 20
- 31
- 15
- 19
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 80'
-
3
Marco Komenda ↑ 80'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 72'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↑ 24'
- 23
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Jonas Sterner | 1 |
Hamburger SV Form
2024-04-20
Hamburger SV
0–1
Holstein Kiel
L
2024-04-14
1. FC Magdeburg
2–2
Hamburger SV
D
2024-04-06
Hamburger SV
2–1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2024-03-31
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
1–1
Hamburger SV
D
2024-03-17
Hamburger SV
3–0
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
W
2024-03-08
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–0
Hamburger SV
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Draw 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
Hamburger SV or Holstein Kiel
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.