Friday , 9 October 2026

Holstein Kiel vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 18:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
1
Holstein Kiel 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–1 D
05 May SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–0 W
27 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–3 L
20 Apr Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
13 Apr VfL Osnabrück H 4–0 W
06 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
  • 2' Magnificent from Benedikt Pichler! That is 12 goals in 4 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 8' Another change for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf made on 8 minute. Felix Klaus leaves to be changed by Jona Niemiec.
  • 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 18' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' Christoph Daferner has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 498 appearances.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' Poor challenge from Philipp Sander. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf have won 272 goals from 303 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lasse Rosenboom, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Patrick Erras is a natural defensive midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf tonight.
  • 63' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolai Remberg is hanging Benedikt Pichler on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' Alexander Bernhardsson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 70' Christos Tzolis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 73' Yannik Engelhardt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 73.
  • 74' Christoph Daferner is replacing Vincent Vermeij for the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf side.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Jann-Fiete Arp on, Shuto Machino off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andre Hoffmann made 303 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf bench stirs into life. Jordy de Wijs is withdrawn and Suliman Mustapha gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joshua Mees is hanging Lewis Holtby on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Emmanuel Iyoha.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel42% Draw30% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
71%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
58%
Holstein Kiel or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel27% Draw51% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf22%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.