TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | H | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Nov | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Nov | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Nov | VfL Osnabruck | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 6–7 | L |
Season Stats
| TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 4 / 19 | W / D / L | 11 / 8 / 15 |
| 33 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 48 |
| -20 | GD | -4 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
- 5' Holstein Kiel have won 170 goals from 277 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Jann-Fiete Arp has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Felix Klaus on 14.
- 18' Lewis Holtby doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
- 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Finn Porath suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' Yannik Engelhardt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 65' The 27-year-old Timon Weiner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 67' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Nicolas Gavory is replaced by Dennis Jastrzembski.
- 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 75' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Ao Tanaka trudges off to be replaced by Shinta Appelkamp on 75 minutes.
- 77' Marcel Rapp is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
- 79' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 79 minute. Tom Rothe leaves to be changed by Marco Komenda.
- 80' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Holmbert Fridjonsson comes on to replace Shuto Machino.
- 85' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Christos Tzolis has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Ginczek to step up.
- 90' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 34
- 9
- 11
- 33
- 4
- 8
- 7
- 20
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 1
- 10
- 27
- 23
- 2
- 35
- 18
- 46
Coach
Daniel Thioune
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 4
- 13
-
16
Philipp Sander ↓ Marvin Schulz 80'
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Nicolai Remberg 67'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Jonas Sterner 85'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Marco Komenda 79'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 31
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 80'
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 80'
-
32
Jonas Sterner ↑ 85'
-
3
Marco Komenda ↑ 79'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 67'
- 23
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2023-12-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–1
Holstein Kiel
L
2023-12-05
1. FC Magdeburg
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2023-12-02
1. FC Nurnberg
0–5
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2023-11-25
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
5–3
FC Schalke 04
W
2023-11-12
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2023-11-03
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–3
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
L
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
54%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
75%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
12.1%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 24% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.