TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 2 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | H | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Nov | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Nov | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Nov | VfL Osnabrück | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 6–7 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Merkur Spiel-Arena. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are looking to make home advantage count against Holstein Kiel.
- 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
- 10' Holstein Kiel have won 170 goals from 277 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 14' That is a card for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Felix Klaus will be fuming at that decision.
- 18' A goal from the Germany international Lewis Holtby! He fires home on 18 to make it 0-1!
- 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' Jamil Siebert has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 38' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Timo Becker suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf that had 302 games and scored 271 goals.
- 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 67' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Dennis Jastrzembski comes on to replace Nicolas Gavory.
- 72' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Ao Tanaka is replaced by Shinta Appelkamp.
- 77' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marcel Rapp gets a card.
- 79' The whistle greets Tom Rothe as he departs to be replaced by Marco Komenda.
- 80' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Holmbert Fridjonsson.
- 85' A change in the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ranks — Christos Tzolis exits the field as Daniel Ginczek enters on 85.
- 90' France international Nicolas Gavory has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- With this win, Holstein Kiel is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 34
- 9
- 11
- 33
- 4
- 8
- 7
- 20
- 15
- 6
Bench
- 1
- 10
- 27
- 23
- 2
- 35
- 18
- 46
Coach
Daniel Thioune
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 4
- 13
-
16
Philipp Sander ↓ Marvin Schulz 80'
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Nicolai Remberg 67'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Jonas Sterner 85'
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Marco Komenda 79'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
- 31
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 80'
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 80'
-
32
Jonas Sterner ↑ 85'
-
3
Marco Komenda ↑ 79'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 67'
- 23
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2023-12-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–1
Holstein Kiel
L
2023-12-05
1. FC Magdeburg
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2023-12-02
1. FC Nurnberg
0–5
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2023-11-25
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
5–3
FC Schalke 04
W
2023-11-12
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2023-11-03
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–3
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
L
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
59%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
72%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.