Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 17:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davie Selke 42' 1–0
Davie Selke 65' 2–0
Fabio Balde 78' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Bandurski
17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preussen Munster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
25 Jan Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
18 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Hamburger SV A 0–3 L
15 Feb Hannover 96 H 0–0 D
08 Feb Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
02 Feb SC Preussen Munster H 2–1 W
24 Jan SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 4–2 W
18 Jan SSV Ulm 1846 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
2/2
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Volksparkstadion will turn into a battlefield for Hamburger SV and 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
  • 5' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Leon Robinson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Daniel Fernandes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Karabec, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' What a strike from Davie Selke! The score is 1-0.
  • 47' 1. FC Kaiserslautern seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' Time for substitution for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Daisuke Yokota is replaced by Aaron Opoku.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Hamburger SV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ragnar Ache suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Davie Selke with the second goal in the match!
  • 67' 1. FC Kaiserslautern manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kenny Prince Redondo is hanging Ragnar Ache on the field on 67 minute.
  • 70' Fabio Balde is replacing Adedire Awokoya-Mebude for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 75' 1. FC Kaiserslautern is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Davie Selke is replaced by Ransford Konigsdorffer.
  • 78' Goal! Fabio Balde scores his 3 goal in 268 matches.
  • 83' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' The travelling 1. FC Kaiserslautern supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit. He replaces Jean-Luc Dompe on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows 1. FC Kaiserslautern player a card on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Luca Sirch as he departs to be replaced by Leon Robinson.
  • Full Time. Hamburger SV beats 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV53% Draw24% 1. FC Kaiserslautern23%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
47%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV37% Draw44% 1. FC Kaiserslautern19%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Kaiserslautern covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.