Saturday , 5 September 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SSV Ulm 1846, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 12:00 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 32,047 HT 45' · FT 45'
Isak Johannesson 9' 1–0
1–1 13' Aaron Keller
Dawid Kownacki 15' 2–1
Dawid Kownacki pen 60' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SSV Ulm 18462. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W
25 Jan Karlsruher SC A 3–2 W
17 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–5 L
14 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 1–1 D
08 Dec Eintracht Braunschweig H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–3 L
26 Jan SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–1 W
18 Jan 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–2 L
21 Dec SC Preußen Münster A 0–0 D
14 Dec Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
07 Dec Hannover 96 A 2–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 SSV Ulm 1846 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf56% Draw22% SSV Ulm 184622%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
78%
Draw or SSV Ulm 1846
44%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SSV Ulm 1846
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf39% Draw40% SSV Ulm 184621%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers Push SSV Ulm 1846 covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
26%
SSV Ulm 1846 keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.