Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
3 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Carlos Vinicius 25' Y
Marlon 34' Y
Y 60' Anibal Moreno
Y 66' Facundo Torres Perez
Francis Amuzu 76' Y
Y 78' Luighi Hanri
R 84' Agustin Giay

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
4
11
Grêmio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2023-09-22 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Grêmio FBPA A 2–3 L
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
07 Nov Santos FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA SE Palmeiras
#16 Position #1
21 Points 41
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
20 Scored 30
23 Conceded 13
-3 GD +17
1.17 PPG 2.28
28% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras is underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Facundo Torres Perez makes it 0-1.
  • 25' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Carlos Vinicius gets a card.
  • 30' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 34.
  • 39' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Edenilson by Willian on 46 minute.
  • 48' Francis Amuzu doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Agustin Giay suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Anderson made 341 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' Anibal Moreno was booked on 60.
  • 61' Against the run of play, Carlos Vinicius has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Facundo Torres Perez.
  • 67' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Mauricio exits the field as Luighi Hanri enters on 67.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Riquelme Fillipi. He replaces Micael on 72 minute.
  • 76' Francis Amuzu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Gustavo Cuellar on, Dodi off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Luighi Hanri is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 78.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Andreas Pereira. He replaces Anibal Moreno on 79 minute.
  • 84' Agustin Giay catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
  • 85' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Willian makes no mistake. 0-4!
  • 88' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Joao Lucas on 88 minute.
  • 3-2 the final result. SE Palmeiras will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 7
Diego Souza 3
Marlon Freitas 2
Deyverson 2
Facundo Torres Perez 2
Estevao 2
Willian 2
Carlos Vinicius 2

Head to Head

2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2023-09-22 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-11-20 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-11-05 Grêmio FBPA 0–1 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-11-02 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-16 Santos FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-09 Mirassol FC 2–1 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 Santos FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA39% Draw27% SE Palmeiras34%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
66%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
61%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA24% Draw48% SE Palmeiras28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.