Friday , 16 October 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
2 – 2
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Emanuel Britez 9' Y
Y 44' Erick Noriega
Y 59' Gustavo Cuellar
Bruno Pacheco 62' Y
Y 64' Walter Kannemann
Y 71' Edenilson
Matheus Rossetto 83' Y
Adam Bareiro 90' Y
Matheus Pereira 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Gremio FBPA H 2–2 D
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W
19 Oct EC Bahia A 0–4 L
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fortaleza EC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' What a strike from Adam Bareiro! The score is 1-0.
  • 9' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Emanuel Britez gets a card.
  • 14' Magnificent from Carlos Vinicius! That is 78 goals in 331 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustavo Cuellar made 393 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' Arthur has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 32' Marlon puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
  • 37' Breno Lopes, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Erick Noriega will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Lucas Sasha is withdrawn and Matheus Pereira gets his opportunity.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gustavo Cuellar on 59.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Carlos Vinicius as he leaves the pitch. Andre steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 62' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno Pacheco is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 62.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Walter Kannemann argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' What composure from Matheus Pereira! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Dodi on, Gustavo Cuellar off on 68 minutes.
  • 71' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Alexander Aravena comes on to replace Francis Amuzu.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Pierre is replaced by Matheus Rossetto on 82 minute.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Matheus Rossetto on 83 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Deyverson comes on to replace Breno Lopes.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Adam Bareiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fortaleza EC 2-2 Gremio FBPA.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Palermo

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martin Braithwaite 3
Osvaldo 2
Pepe 2
Wellington Paulista 1
Deyverson 1
Marlon 1
Diego Souza 1
Carlos Vinicius 1

Head to Head

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2025-11-06 Ceará SC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2025-11-01 Santos FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2025-10-19 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Fortaleza EC L 2025-10-16 Fortaleza EC 0–2 CR Vasco da Gama L

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2025-11-05 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-11-02 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-26 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Juventude W 2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC42% Draw28% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
58%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC31% Draw47% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.