Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Gremio FBPA H 2–2 D
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W
19 Oct EC Bahia A 0–4 L
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' What a strike from Adam Bareiro! The score is 1-0.
  • 9' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
  • 14' Carlos Vinicius doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brenno Costa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Edenilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' What a moment for Marlon! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Grêmio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dodi, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' Erick Noriega has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Lucas Sasha is replaced by Matheus Pereira on 46 minute.
  • 51' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Cuellar. He receives a card.
  • 61' Andre has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Vinicius on 61 minute.
  • 62' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno Pacheco is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 62.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 64.
  • 65' Matheus Pereira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Dodi comes on to replace Gustavo Cuellar.
  • 71' Edenilson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Alexander Aravena comes on to replace Francis Amuzu.
  • 82' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Rossetto is hanging Pierre on the field on 82 minute.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Rossetto.
  • 88' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Deyverson on 89 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Adam Bareiro on 90 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC42% Draw28% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
70%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
58%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC31% Draw47% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.