Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
07 Nov Santos FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA SE Palmeiras
#18 Position #2
31 Points 63
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 9 / 3
32 Scored 52
40 Conceded 22
-8 GD +30
1.03 PPG 2.10
23% Win % 60%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 9 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Grêmio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Grêmio FBPA in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' A stunning finish from Facundo Torres Perez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 25' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Carlos Vinicius gets a card.
  • 30' Francis Amuzu is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 34' Marlon is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' Marcelo Lomba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 44' Arthur, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' Willian gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' Assisted by Wagner Leonardo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Francis Amuzu makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 53' Bruno Rodrigues has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 381 appearances.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anibal Moreno on 60.
  • 61' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius scores on 61.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Facundo Torres Perez. He receives a card.
  • 67' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Luighi Hanri on, Mauricio off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Micael is replaced by Riquelme Fillipi on 72 minute.
  • 76' Francis Amuzu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 77' Gustavo Cuellar is replacing Dodi for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 78' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Luighi Hanri will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Andreas Pereira comes on to replace Anibal Moreno.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Agustin Giay on 84.
  • 85' Willian has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Joao Lucas on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA38% Draw27% SE Palmeiras35%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
65%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
62%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA24% Draw47% SE Palmeiras29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.