Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 30 games · 63 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 63 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 18 / 9 / 3 |
| 32 | Scored | 52 |
| 40 | Conceded | 22 |
| -8 | GD | +30 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 2.10 |
| 23% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Grêmio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Grêmio FBPA in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 23' A stunning finish from Facundo Torres Perez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Carlos Vinicius gets a card.
- 30' Francis Amuzu is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
- 34' Marlon is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
- 39' Marcelo Lomba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 44' Arthur, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Willian gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' Assisted by Wagner Leonardo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Francis Amuzu makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 53' Bruno Rodrigues has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 381 appearances.
- 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anibal Moreno on 60.
- 61' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius scores on 61.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Facundo Torres Perez. He receives a card.
- 67' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Luighi Hanri on, Mauricio off on 67 minutes.
- 72' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Micael is replaced by Riquelme Fillipi on 72 minute.
- 76' Francis Amuzu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 77' Gustavo Cuellar is replacing Dodi for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 78' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Luighi Hanri will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Andreas Pereira comes on to replace Anibal Moreno.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Agustin Giay on 84.
- 85' Willian has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
- 88' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Joao Lucas on 88 minute.
- It finishes all square. Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 17
- 14
- 29
- 95
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 3
Bench
- 6
- 88
- 21
- 10
- 25
- 2
- 15
- 12
- 77
- 44
- 16
- 47
Coach
Mano Menezes
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↓ Andreas Pereira 79'
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Luighi Hanri 67'
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Allan 79'
- 32
-
13
Micael ↓ Riquelme Fillipi 72'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Bruno Rodrigues 67'
- 4
- 43
- 6
Bench
- 21
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 79'
-
11
Bruno Rodrigues ↑ 67'
- 22
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 67'
-
37
Riquelme Fillipi ↑ 72'
- 48
-
40
Allan ↑ 79'
- 24
- 45
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
65%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
62%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

