Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 52 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 15 / 7 / 3 |
| 27 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 21 |
| -5 | GD | +24 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 29% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Arena do Gremio that hosts another battle between Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras.
- 5' Brazil international Riquelme Fillipi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 23' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Facundo Torres Perez on 23.
- 25' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Carlos Vinicius will be fuming at that decision.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Agustin Giay suffering a number of foals already.
- 34' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
- 39' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Edenilson exits the field as Willian enters on 46.
- 48' Francis Amuzu does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anibal Moreno on 60.
- 61' Carlos Vinicius doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Facundo Torres Perez on 66.
- 67' Luighi Hanri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mauricio at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' Riquelme Fillipi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Micael on 72 minute.
- 76' A moment of madness from Francis Amuzu on 76 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 77' Gustavo Cuellar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dodi on 77 minute.
- 78' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Luighi Hanri gets a card.
- 79' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Anibal Moreno is withdrawn and Andreas Pereira gets his opportunity.
- 84' A moment of madness from Agustin Giay on 84 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 85' Willian is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 88' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 88 minute. Marcos Rocha leaves to be changed by Joao Lucas.
- The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 3-2 SE Palmeiras. Honours even.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 17
- 14
- 29
- 95
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 3
Bench
- 6
- 88
- 21
- 10
- 25
- 2
- 15
- 12
- 77
- 44
- 16
- 47
Coach
Mano Menezes
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↓ Andreas Pereira 79'
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Luighi Hanri 67'
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Allan 79'
- 32
-
13
Micael ↓ Riquelme Fillipi 72'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Bruno Rodrigues 67'
- 4
- 43
- 6
Bench
- 21
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 79'
-
11
Bruno Rodrigues ↑ 67'
- 22
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 67'
-
37
Riquelme Fillipi ↑ 72'
- 48
-
40
Allan ↑ 79'
- 24
- 45
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
65%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
62%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

