Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 59' Dodi
Y 70' Marlon
Vitinho 77' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–2 W
18 Nov SC Recife H 3–2 W
09 Nov EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
05 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
01 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Santos FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#12 Position #15
30 Points 28
24 Played 24
8 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
37 Scored 27
40 Conceded 32
-3 GD -5
1.25 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Botafogo FR get us underway at Estadio Nilton Santos.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Andre needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Cuiabano adds to his 0 season tally! Botafogo FR lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 19' GOAL! Artur Guimaraes fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Franco Cristaldo, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 28' Newton gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Franco Cristaldo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Lucas Esteves and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' What composure from Andre! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 50' It’s gonna be a card for Erick Noriega.
  • 55' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kadir Barria by Arthur Cabral on 55 minute.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Dodi on 59 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 64' Grêmio FBPA have won 385 goals from 328 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 67 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Alexander Aravena.
  • 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 70.
  • 72' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 72 minute. Erick Noriega leaves to be changed by Viery.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Vitinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 78' Gustavo Martins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 78' Marcal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artur Guimaraes on 78 minute.
  • 79' Alvaro Montoro is replacing Jefferson Savarino for the Botafogo FR side.
  • 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcal makes it 3-1.
  • 88' Marlon Freitas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 90' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius scores on 90. Assisted by Cristian Pavon
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR53% Draw22% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR38% Draw40% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
23%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.