Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 24 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Nov | SC Recife | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | EC Vitoria | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 8 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 40 | Conceded | 32 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 33% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Botafogo FR get us underway at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Andre needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Cuiabano adds to his 0 season tally! Botafogo FR lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 19' GOAL! Artur Guimaraes fires home to make it 2-0!
- 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Franco Cristaldo, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 28' Newton gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Franco Cristaldo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Lucas Esteves and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' What composure from Andre! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 50' It’s gonna be a card for Erick Noriega.
- 55' Another substitution for Botafogo FR to replace Kadir Barria by Arthur Cabral on 55 minute.
- 59' A moment of madness from Dodi on 59 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 64' Grêmio FBPA have won 385 goals from 328 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 67 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Alexander Aravena.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 70.
- 72' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 72 minute. Erick Noriega leaves to be changed by Viery.
- 77' Poor challenge from Vitinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 78' Gustavo Martins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 78' Marcal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artur Guimaraes on 78 minute.
- 79' Alvaro Montoro is replacing Jefferson Savarino for the Botafogo FR side.
- 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcal makes it 3-1.
- 88' Marlon Freitas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 90' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius scores on 90. Assisted by Cristian Pavon
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Marcal 78'
-
30
Joaquin Correa ↓ Jordan Barrera 55'
- 10
- 2
- 20
- 17
- 35
- 24
- 57
- 6
-
37
Kadir Barria ↓ Arthur Cabral 55'
Bench
-
98
Arthur Cabral ↑ 55'
-
21
Marcal ↑ 78'
- 25
- 39
- 1
- 47
-
28
Newton ↑ 28'
- 4
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↑ 79'
-
14
Jordan Barrera ↑ 55'
- 64
- 26
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 23
- 17
- 14
-
8
Edenilson ↓ Alexander Aravena 67'
- 1
- 25
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Viery 72'
- 53
-
77
Andre ↓ Carlos Vinicius 72'
-
47
Alysson ↓ Cristian Pavon 46'
Bench
- 4
- 21
-
95
Carlos Vinicius ↑ 72'
-
7
Cristian Pavon ↑ 46'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
- 2
- 15
- 12
-
44
Viery ↑ 72'
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 67'
- 40
- 30
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luis Suarez | 3 |
| Cuiabano | 3 |
| Jael | 2 |
| Jean Pyerre | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Alisson | 2 |
| Jael | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
75%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

