Friday , 16 October 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Botafogo FR
3 – 2
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Erick Noriega
Y 59' Dodi
Y 70' Marlon
Vitinho 77' Y
Y 78' Gustavo Martins
Jefferson Savarino 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

5
2
7
Botafogo FR 14 games · Avg 3.9 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR 2023-11-09 Botafogo FR 3–4 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Botafogo FR
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–2 W
18 Nov SC Recife H 3–2 W
09 Nov EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
05 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
01 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Santos FC H 2–2 D
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#12 Position #18
36 Points 31
30 Played 30
9 / 9 / 12 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
43 Scored 32
48 Conceded 40
-5 GD -8
1.20 PPG 1.03
30% Win % 23%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos!
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Cuiabano makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 19' What composure from Artur Guimaraes! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 24' Botafogo FR currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira is replaced by Newton on 28 minute.
  • 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlos Vinicius, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 43' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Lucas Esteves by Franco Cristaldo on 46 minute.
  • 49' Andre has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 50' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' Another change for Botafogo FR made on 55 minute. Kadir Barria leaves to be changed by Arthur Cabral.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dodi on 59.
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Edenilson is replaced by Alexander Aravena.
  • 70' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 72 minute. Erick Noriega leaves to be changed by Viery.
  • 77' A moment of madness from Vitinho on 77 minutes earns him a card. Botafogo FR will be frustrated.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Martins. He receives a card.
  • 78' Marcal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Artur Guimaraes at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Alvaro Montoro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jefferson Savarino at the 79 minute mark.
  • 83' GOAL! Marcal scores on 83. Assisted by David Loiola
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' What a strike from Carlos Vinicius! The score is 3-2.
  • Botafogo FR celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Davide Ancelotti

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luis Suarez 3
Cuiabano 3
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 2
Jean Pyerre 2
Junior Santos 2
Pepe 2
Alisson 2
Jael 2

Head to Head

2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR 2023-11-09 Botafogo FR 3–4 Gremio FBPA

Botafogo FR Form

2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA W 2025-11-18 Botafogo FR 3–2 SC Recife W 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-05 Botafogo FR 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-11-01 Mirassol FC 0–0 Botafogo FR D 2025-10-26 Botafogo FR 2–2 Santos FC D

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L 2025-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2025-11-05 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-11-02 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-26 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Juventude W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR53% Draw23% Gremio FBPA24%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
76%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR38% Draw40% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.