Gremio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 25 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 39 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 35 |
| 32 | Conceded | 36 |
| -5 | GD | -1 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 29% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 6 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Gremio FBPA to score. At the same time, Cruzeiro EC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's shape.
- 10' Cruzeiro EC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lucas Romero scoring 1 goals.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cassio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Walace has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Walter Kannemann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' Brilliant from the ! Fabricio Bruno makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 43.
- 45' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Lucas Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 63' Andre is replacing Dodi for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 68' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 68.
- 69' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Villalba.
- 73' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 74' Luis Sinisterra gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Keny Arroyo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The crowd applauds Francis Amuzu as he leaves the pitch. Franco Cristaldo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 79' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Kaio Jorge by Gabriel Barbosa on 79 minute.
- 84' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 88' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Cristian Pavon will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Carlos Eduardo comes on to replace Lucas Silva.
- 0-1 the final result. Gremio FBPA will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 23
- 17
- 29
- 95
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 19
- 47
Bench
- 6
- 7
- 10
- 25
- 15
- 3
- 53
- 77
- 11
- 99
- 16
- 31
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Carlos Eduardo 88'
- 1
- 15
- 12
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Walace 88'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 79'
- 25
- 88
- 6
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↓ Luis Sinisterra 74'
Bench
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 74'
-
5
Walace ↑ 88'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 79'
- 43
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 88'
- 77
- 34
- 41
- 36
- 2
- 35
- 57
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Everton | 3 |
| Fred | 1 |
| Arthur Gomes | 1 |
| Alisson | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 1 |
| Diego Tardelli | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or Cruzeiro EC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
68%
Gremio FBPA or Cruzeiro EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

