SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #13 |
| 48 | Points | 26 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 14 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 40 | Scored | 22 |
| 19 | Conceded | 33 |
| +21 | GD | -11 |
| 2.09 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 61% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Allianz Parque that hosts another battle between SE Palmeiras and EC Vitoria.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 175 games and scored 129 goals.
- 20' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriel Baralhas suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 39' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Erick will be fuming at that decision.
- 44' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitoria backline.
- 47' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Vitor Roque on, Bruno Rodrigues off on 47 minutes.
- 48' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Micael is withdrawn and Felipe Anderson gets his opportunity.
- 53' Aitor Cantalapiedra is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 58' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jair Ventura will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Raphael Veiga departs to be replaced by Anibal Moreno.
- 62' Facundo Torres Perez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mauricio on 62 minute.
- 66' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Renzo Lopez has done his job and it is now time for Renato Kayzer to step up.
- 71' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' Lucas Braga gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Erick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Lucas Halter gets a card.
- 78' Anibal Moreno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 82' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Jefte by Gustavo Gomez on 82 minute.
- 85' Andreas Pereira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Willian Oliveira.
- 88' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Dudu comes on to replace Willian Oliveira.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Anibal Moreno 59'
- 8
- 3
- 1
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Facundo Torres Perez 62'
-
11
Bruno Rodrigues ↓ Vitor Roque 47'
- 42
- 26
-
13
Micael ↓ Felipe Anderson 48'
-
6
Jefte ↓ Gustavo Gomez 82'
- 40
Bench
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 82'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 48'
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 62'
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 47'
- 19
- 4
- 31
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Lucas Braga 73'
- 17
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↓ Renato Kayzer 66'
-
29
Willian Oliveira ↓ Dudu 88'
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 88'
- 23
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 66'
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 8
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 73'
-
21
Dudu ↑ 88'
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 73'
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
| Ramon Sosa | 1 |
| Yago Felipe | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Luan | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 61% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
83%
Draw or EC Vitoria
43%
SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16%
2 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

