SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #16 |
| 73 | Points | 38 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 10 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 16 |
| 62 | Scored | 35 |
| 23 | Conceded | 51 |
| +39 | GD | -16 |
| 2.15 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 62% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against EC Vitória.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The 27-year-old Dudu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jefte is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 39' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 47' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Vitor Roque comes on to replace Bruno Rodrigues.
- 48' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Anderson is hanging Micael on the field on 48 minute.
- 53' Raphael Veiga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Raphael Veiga by Anibal Moreno on 59 minute.
- 62' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 62 minute. Mauricio leaves to be changed by Facundo Torres Perez.
- 66' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Renzo Lopez exits the field as Renato Kayzer enters on 66.
- 71' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
- 73' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Erick is replaced by Lucas Braga.
- 77' Lucas Halter has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Anibal Moreno. He receives a card.
- 82' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Jefte is replaced by Gustavo Gomez on 82 minute.
- 85' Andreas Pereira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 86' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Willian Oliveira will be fuming at that decision.
- 88' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dudu is hanging Willian Oliveira on the field on 88 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Anibal Moreno 59'
- 8
- 3
- 1
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Facundo Torres Perez 62'
-
11
Bruno Rodrigues ↓ Vitor Roque 47'
- 42
- 26
-
13
Micael ↓ Felipe Anderson 48'
-
6
Jefte ↓ Gustavo Gomez 82'
- 40
Bench
-
15
Gustavo Gomez ↑ 82'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 48'
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 59'
- 12
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 62'
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 47'
- 19
- 4
- 31
Coach
Abel Ferreira
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
-
33
Erick ↓ Lucas Braga 73'
- 17
- 27
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↓ Renato Kayzer 66'
-
29
Willian Oliveira ↓ Dudu 88'
- 44
- 12
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↑ 88'
- 23
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 66'
- 11
- 3
- 71
- 8
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 73'
-
21
Dudu ↑ 88'
-
10
Matheuzinho ↑ 73'
- 66
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Mauricio | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
| Ramon Sosa | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or EC Vitoria
42%
SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.9%
2 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

