Saturday , 14 November 2026

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 19 Nov 2025 · 22:30 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
07 Nov Santos FC H 2–0 W
02 Nov EC Juventude A 2–0 W
26 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
05 Nov SC Internacional H 1–0 W
01 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–3 L
25 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
21 Oct Santos FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras EC Vitoria
#2 Position #16
73 Points 38
34 Played 34
21 / 10 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 16
62 Scored 35
23 Conceded 51
+39 GD -16
2.15 PPG 1.12
62% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against EC Vitória.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The 27-year-old Dudu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jefte is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 47' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Vitor Roque comes on to replace Bruno Rodrigues.
  • 48' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Anderson is hanging Micael on the field on 48 minute.
  • 53' Raphael Veiga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 59' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Raphael Veiga by Anibal Moreno on 59 minute.
  • 62' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 62 minute. Mauricio leaves to be changed by Facundo Torres Perez.
  • 66' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Renzo Lopez exits the field as Renato Kayzer enters on 66.
  • 71' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jhon Arias scoring 1 goals.
  • 73' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Erick is replaced by Lucas Braga.
  • 77' Lucas Halter has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Anibal Moreno. He receives a card.
  • 82' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Jefte is replaced by Gustavo Gomez on 82 minute.
  • 85' Andreas Pereira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
  • 86' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Willian Oliveira will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dudu is hanging Willian Oliveira on the field on 88 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras58% Draw26% EC Vitoria16%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or EC Vitoria
42%
SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras42% Draw49% EC Vitoria9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.9%
2 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 20% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 27% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.