Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Grêmio FBPA
#3 Position #16
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
28 Scored 20
23 Conceded 23
+5 GD -3
1.72 PPG 1.17
50% Win % 28%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Brazil international Keno has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Hercules has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Esteves on 38.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' Everaldo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
  • 45' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Santos. He replaces Hercules on 46 minute.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Edenilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 330 appearances.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Riquelme has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
  • 67' The whistle greets Cristian Pavon as he departs to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
  • 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Esteves made 386 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 84' German Cano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everaldo on 84 minute.
  • 85' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 85.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Walter Kannemann on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC48% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA25%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
Fluminense FC or Grêmio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC34% Draw46% Grêmio FBPA20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.