Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +5 | GD | -3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 50% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Maracana will turn into a battlefield for Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Brazil international Keno has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Hercules has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Esteves on 38.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' Everaldo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 45' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Santos. He replaces Hercules on 46 minute.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Edenilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 330 appearances.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 66' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Riquelme has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
- 67' The whistle greets Cristian Pavon as he departs to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
- 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Esteves made 386 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 84' German Cano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everaldo on 84 minute.
- 85' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 85.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Walter Kannemann on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 26
- 2
- 23
- 3
- 10
-
11
Keno ↓ Agustin Canobbio 66'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ German Cano 84'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Thiago Santos 46'
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Riquelme Felipe 84'
Bench
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 46'
- 16
- 27
-
14
German Cano ↑ 84'
- 99
-
45
Lima ↑ 66'
- 77
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 66'
- 18
- 36
-
28
Riquelme Felipe ↑ 84'
- 37
Coach
Renato Gaucho
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 17
- 22
- 7
- 1
- 25
-
2
Joao Lucas ↓ Camilo 46'
-
20
Mathias Villasanti ↓ Edenilson 46'
- 3
-
65
Riquelme ↓ Alexander Aravena 66'
- 47
Bench
- 80
- 21
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 46'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 67'
- 9
-
15
Camilo ↑ 46'
- 12
- 35
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 66'
-
40
Jardiel ↑ 84'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Pepe | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
Fluminense FC or Grêmio FBPA
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

