Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Centenario.
- Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 19 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 18 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 18 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | EC Vitoria | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | AC Goianiense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 32 |
| 19 | Played | 19 |
| 5 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 5 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 29 |
| 25 | Conceded | 24 |
| -4 | GD | +5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Grêmio FBPA kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcao might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. John Kennedy made 386 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' The crowd applauds Marcelo as he leaves the pitch. Diogo Barbosa steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 36' Geromel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 36.
- 39' That is a card for Fluminense FC. German Cano will be fuming at that decision.
- 44' Gabriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. David Terans departs to be replaced by Jan Lucumi.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 52' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Jan Lucumi will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dodi.
- 60' Joao Pedro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' Against the run of play, Gustavo Gomes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 66' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 69' Felipe Carballo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! John Kennedy comes on to replace German Cano.
- 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
- 82' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Marlon is replaced by Elias Kaua on 82 minute.
- 84' Du Queiroz gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Franco Cristaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jan Lucumi on 87 minutes.
- 90' The whistle greets Dodi as he departs to be replaced by Nata.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Grêmio FBPA players.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 6
- 5
- 18
- 21
- 15
- 10
- 23
- 1
- 39
Bench
- 31
- 14
- –
- 2
- 11
- 26
- 37
- 13
- 8
- 36
- 32
- 47
Coach
Renato Gaucho
Fluminense FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
-
80
David Terans ↓ Jan Lucumi 46'
- 25
- 29
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 33'
-
4
Marlon ↓ Elias Kaua 82'
- 22
- 11
-
14
German Cano ↓ John Kennedy 70'
- 8
Bench
- –
-
6
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 33'
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 70'
- 90
- 20
- 31
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 70'
- –
- –
-
19
Elias Kaua ↑ 82'
- –
-
–
Jan Lucumi ↑ 46'
Coach
Marcao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

