EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 21 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Wagner Leonardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 35' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' The referee calls foul for Jose Enamorado. He receives a card.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leonel Perez, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Gabriel Mec. He replaces Willian on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 57.
- 59' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Marcos Rocha departs to be replaced by Vitor Ramon.
- 60' Martin Braithwaite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Vinicius on 60 minute.
- 62' GOAL! Viery scores on 62.
- 65' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 65.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Pedro Gabriel.
- 67' Rodrigo Nestor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 67 minute.
- 72' What an equalizer from Mateo Sanabria!
- 73' Mateo Sanabria puts EC Bahia on the lead.
- 75' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Nicolas Acevedo gets a card.
- 78' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 78 minute. Erick Noriega leaves to be changed by Bernardo Zortea.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Erick.
- 80' Vitor Ramon is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 84' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Gilberto is replaced by Caio Suassuna.
- 89' It’s gonna be a card for Andre.
- 90' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Mateo Sanabria 60'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Caio Suassuna 84'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Everaldo 67'
- 22
- 14
- 33
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Iago Borduchi 60'
- 5
- 16
Bench
- 6
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 60'
- 34
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 67'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
- 15
- 44
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 60'
- 3
- 43
- 31
-
90
Caio Suassuna ↑ 84'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↓ Vitor Ramon 59'
-
10
Willian ↓ Gabriel Mec 46'
- 95
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Bernardo Zortea 78'
- 3
- 44
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↓ Francis Amuzu 59'
- 43
- 54
- 33
Bench
- 4
- 38
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 60'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 59'
- 21
- 77
- 11
- 24
-
32
Vitor Ramon ↑ 59'
- 39
-
50
Bernardo Zortea ↑ 78'
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 46'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Vinicius Mingotti | 1 |
| Jael | 1 |
| David Duarte | 1 |
| Vanderson | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.