EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Estudiantes de La Plata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | CD Huachipato | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 21 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Grêmio FBPA get us underway at Octavio Mangabeira.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 17' Brilliant from the ! Everaldo makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 17.
- 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' Jean Lucas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' Gabriel Xavier has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 325 appearances.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Walter Kannemann on 45.
- 46' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 46 minute. Yeferson Soteldo leaves to be changed by Franco Cristaldo.
- 47' Gabriel Xavier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
- 52' Rafael Cabral is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 56' Everton Ribeiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 56.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 64' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Gabriel Teixeira enters on 64.
- 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Dodi.
- 72' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Joao Pedro Galvao comes on to replace Diego Costa.
- 76' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Thaciano is withdrawn and Carlos De Pena gets his opportunity.
- 78' Gustavo Gomes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Fabio is replaced by Jose Guilherme.
- 80' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Cauly exits the field as Ademir Santos enters on 80.
- 81' Rezende gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 90' A moment of madness from Rodrigo Ely on 90 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
–
Thaciano ↓ Carlos De Pena 76'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 80'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 81'
-
–
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 81'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 80'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Rafael Ratao ↑ 81'
-
–
Carlos De Pena ↑ 76'
- –
-
–
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 64'
-
–
Rezende ↑ 81'
- –
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- –
- 17
- 2
- 5
-
19
Diego Costa ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 72'
- 18
-
–
Edenilson ↓ Gustavo Gomes 46'
- 7
- 20
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 46'
- –
Bench
- 31
- 14
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 72'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
- 13
- –
- 36
- 35
- 51
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 46'
- –
-
39
Gustavo Gomes ↑ 46'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Darlan Mendes | 1 |
| Gustavo Martins | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.