Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 00:00 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Luciano Juba pen 27' 1–0
1–1 41' Kaua Moraes
1–2 86' Kenji
Joao Paulo 18' Y
Everaldo 45' Y
Y 62' Kaua Moraes
Y 77' Lucas Romero
Y 89' Otavio

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Match Details

  • Referee Rodrigo Pereira de Lima (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Brigida Cirilo Ferreira (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Bruno Cesar Chaves Vieira
10 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May EC Bahia A 2–1 W
03 May CA Mineiro H 1–3 L
25 Apr Clube do Remo A 1–0 W
18 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
12 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
04 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Cruzeiro EC
#5 Position #6
46 Points 45
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 9
43 Scored 42
35 Conceded 40
+8 GD +2
1.64 PPG 1.61
43% Win % 46%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
21% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 4 A
Kaio Jorge 7 G 1 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Cruzeiro EC.
  • 5' Fagner is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Matheus Pereira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Paulo.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 24' Fabricio Bruno was booked on 24.
  • 27' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Juba makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Henrique, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 35.
  • 40' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 41' GOAL! Kaua Moraes scores on 41. Assisted by Neizer Villarreal
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Everaldo.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Artur Jorge will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cruzeiro EC backline.
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' Kaua Moraes is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 67' Everton Ribeiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 72' Willian Jose needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Romero.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 336 games and scored 366 goals.
  • 86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kenji makes it 1-2.
  • 89' Otavio is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia36% Draw26% Cruzeiro EC38%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
62%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
64%
EC Bahia or Cruzeiro EC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia30% Draw43% Cruzeiro EC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.