Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 28 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Raphael Claus
- Assistant 1 Alex Ang Ribeiro
- Assistant 2 Luiz Alberto Andrini Nogueira
12 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Santos FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Clube do Remo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #17 |
| 45 | Points | 29 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 13 |
| 42 | Scored | 30 |
| 40 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | -8 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.04 |
| 46% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cruzeiro EC and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
- 5' Miguel Monsalve has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 2 appearances.
- 10' Keny Arroyo, a Ecuador , has 7 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' Cruzeiro EC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fabricio Bruno on 20.
- 25' Francis Amuzu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Fabricio Bruno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 44' A moment of madness from Matheus Pereira on 44 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 46' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Kaio Jorge exits the field as Neizer Villarreal enters on 46.
- 51' What a moment for Christian! That strike on 51 puts his side firmly in control.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' Juan Ignacio Nardoni makes way for Miguel Monsalve at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 61' Erick Noriega catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 61' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Gerson exits the field as Matheus Henrique enters on 61.
- 66' A goal from the Argentina international Lucas Romero! He fires home on 66 to make it 2-0!
- 68' Cruzeiro EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Rodrigues is hanging Matheus Pereira on the field on 68 minute.
- 71' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Francis Amuzu has done his job and it is now time for Gabriel Mec to step up.
- 75' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. Christian is replaced by Wanderson.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Gustavo Martins.
- 82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cruzeiro EC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Carlos Vinicius is withdrawn and Martin Braithwaite gets his opportunity.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leonel Perez on 85.
- 90' Poor challenge from Lucas Silva. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Another three points for Cruzeiro EC.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Lucas Silva 75'
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
11
Gerson ↓ Matheus Henrique 61'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Neizer Villarreal 46'
- 88
- 31
- 6
- 34
- 99
Bench
-
16
Lucas Silva ↑ 75'
-
8
Matheus Henrique ↑ 61'
- 17
-
94
Wanderson ↑ 75'
- 25
-
9
Bruno Rodrigues ↑ 68'
- 43
- 81
- 91
-
22
Neizer Villarreal ↑ 46'
- 36
- 2
Coach
Artur Jorge
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 95
- 7
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↓ Gabriel Mec 71'
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Leonel Perez 71'
- 3
- 5
- 6
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↓ Tete 71'
- 54
Bench
- 17
- 14
- 38
- 2
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 84'
-
21
Tete ↑ 71'
- 12
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 57'
- 43
-
33
Leonel Perez ↑ 71'
- 39
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 71'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Lucas Villalba | 1 |
| Bruno Silva | 1 |
| Joao Pedro Pepe | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
| Felipe Carballo | 1 |
| Fabricio Bruno | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
85%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
38%
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.