Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao 28,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
Christian 51' 1–0
Lucas Romero 66' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Mineirao.

Match Details

  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Assistant 1 Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Assistant 2 Luiz Alberto Andrini Nogueira
11 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
12 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
04 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–4 L
01 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–0 W
22 Mar Santos FC H 0–0 D
18 Mar CA Paranaense A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
11 Apr SC Internacional A 0–0 D
05 Apr Clube do Remo H 0–0 D
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Grêmio FBPA
#11 Position #16
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
6 / 6 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
24 Scored 20
28 Conceded 23
-4 GD -3
1.33 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 28%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Christian 5 G 3 A
Kaio Jorge 4 G
Matheus Pereira 3 G 2 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Mineirao will turn into a battlefield for Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francis Amuzu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Cruzeiro EC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lucas Romero scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Fabricio Bruno is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Romero, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 46 minute. Kaio Jorge leaves to be changed by Neizer Villarreal.
  • 51' What a strike from Christian! The score is 1-0.
  • 56' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' The whistle greets Juan Ignacio Nardoni as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Monsalve.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Erick Noriega.
  • 61' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Gerson by Matheus Henrique on 61 minute.
  • 66' GOAL! Lucas Romero scores on 66. Assisted by Matheus Pereira
  • 68' The whistle greets Matheus Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Rodrigues.
  • 71' Gabriel Mec is replacing Francis Amuzu for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 75' Wanderson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian on 75 minute.
  • 77' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Cruzeiro EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Carlos Vinicius is replaced by Martin Braithwaite on 84 minute.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Leonel Perez.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Lucas Silva. He receives a card.
  • With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Cruzeiro EC to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC58% Draw25% Grêmio FBPA17%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
83%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
42%
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC39% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
45%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.