Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Raphael Claus
- Assistant 1 Alex Ang Ribeiro
- Assistant 2 Luiz Alberto Andrini Nogueira
11 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Santos FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Clube do Remo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Mar | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 20 |
| 28 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 33% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Mineirao will turn into a battlefield for Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francis Amuzu suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Cruzeiro EC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lucas Romero scoring 1 goals.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Fabricio Bruno is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Romero, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 46 minute. Kaio Jorge leaves to be changed by Neizer Villarreal.
- 51' What a strike from Christian! The score is 1-0.
- 56' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' The whistle greets Juan Ignacio Nardoni as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Monsalve.
- 61' It’s gonna be a card for Erick Noriega.
- 61' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Gerson by Matheus Henrique on 61 minute.
- 66' GOAL! Lucas Romero scores on 66. Assisted by Matheus Pereira
- 68' The whistle greets Matheus Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Rodrigues.
- 71' Gabriel Mec is replacing Francis Amuzu for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 75' Wanderson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian on 75 minute.
- 77' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 82' Cruzeiro EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Carlos Vinicius is replaced by Martin Braithwaite on 84 minute.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Leonel Perez.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Lucas Silva. He receives a card.
- With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Lucas Silva 75'
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
11
Gerson ↓ Matheus Henrique 61'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Neizer Villarreal 46'
- 88
- 31
- 6
- 34
- 99
Bench
-
16
Lucas Silva ↑ 75'
-
8
Matheus Henrique ↑ 61'
- 17
-
94
Wanderson ↑ 75'
- 25
-
9
Bruno Rodrigues ↑ 68'
- 43
- 81
- 91
-
22
Neizer Villarreal ↑ 46'
- 36
- 2
Coach
Artur Jorge
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 95
- 7
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↓ Gabriel Mec 71'
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Leonel Perez 71'
- 3
- 5
- 6
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↓ Tete 71'
- 54
Bench
- 17
- 14
- 38
- 2
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 84'
-
21
Tete ↑ 71'
- 12
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 57'
- 43
-
33
Leonel Perez ↑ 71'
- 39
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 71'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Andre | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Lucas Villalba | 1 |
| Bruno Silva | 1 |
| Joao Pedro Pepe | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
83%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
42%
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

