Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Campos Maia.
- Mirassol FC 28 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Paulo Zanovelli da Silva (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Michael Stanislau
- Assistant 2 Celso da Silva (Brazil)
7 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | Coritiba FBC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Clube do Remo | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Mar | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Mirassol FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 32 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 8 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 33 | Scored | 43 |
| 42 | Conceded | 35 |
| -9 | GD | +8 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 29% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 6 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Bahia.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Mirassol FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 14' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by David Duarte on 14.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristian Olivera, as he is very good at scoring at Campos Maia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 34' Erick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 39' Luciano Juba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Mirassol FC tonight.
- 41' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Reinaldo departs to be replaced by Victor Luis.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Edson Carioca is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 45.
- 46' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Andre Luis is replaced by Nathan on 46 minute.
- 51' Mirassol FC have won 87 goals from 66 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Jose Aldo will be fuming at that decision.
- 60' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Carlos Eduardo departs to be replaced by Shaylon.
- 61' Victor Luis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 65' Luciano Juba makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rogerio Ceni on 66.
- 69' Mateo Sanabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 69 minute.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Acevedo made 297 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 76' Mirassol FC make a change. Jose Aldo trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel on 76 minutes.
- 79' Jean Lucas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 80' The whistle greets Everton Ribeiro as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
- 85' Leo Vieira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 89' Mateo Sanabria does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 90' The referee calls foul for Rafael Guanaes. He receives a card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.
Lineups
Mirassol FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 22
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Victor Luis 41'
-
99
Andre Luis ↓ Nathan 46'
- 21
- 34
- 11
- 2
-
95
Edson Carioca ↓ Alesson 60'
-
33
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Shaylon 60'
- 32
Bench
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 60'
-
77
Alesson ↑ 60'
-
12
Victor Luis ↑ 41'
- 29
-
18
Gabriel ↑ 76'
- 10
- 23
-
9
Nathan ↑ 46'
- 20
- 8
- 17
- 3
Coach
Rafael Guanaes
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 22
-
27
Everaldo ↓ Willian Jose 60'
- 33
- 21
-
8
Caio Alexandre ↓ Gilberto 46'
- 46
- 5
-
16
Erick ↓ Ademir Santos 60'
- 99
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 60'
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 46'
-
12
Willian Jose ↑ 60'
- 25
- 34
- 14
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 80'
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Ramon | 1 |
Head to Head
Mirassol FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Mirassol FC or Draw
60%
Draw or EC Bahia
67%
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Mirassol FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC
| Handicap | Mirassol FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

