Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia 4,276 HT 45' · FT 45'
David Duarte og 14' 1–0
1–1 65' Luciano Juba pen
1–2 89' Mateo Sanabria

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Match Details

  • Referee Paulo Zanovelli da Silva (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Michael Stanislau
  • Assistant 2 Celso da Silva (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr EC Bahia H 1–2 L
05 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
01 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
22 Mar EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
18 Mar Coritiba FBC H 0–1 L
15 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W
22 Mar Clube do Remo A 1–4 L
18 Mar RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
15 Mar SC Internacional A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC EC Bahia
#15 Position #5
32 Points 46
28 Played 28
8 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
33 Scored 43
42 Conceded 35
-9 GD +8
1.14 PPG 1.64
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Bahia.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Mirassol FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 14' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by David Duarte on 14.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristian Olivera, as he is very good at scoring at Campos Maia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' Erick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 39' Luciano Juba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Mirassol FC tonight.
  • 41' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Reinaldo departs to be replaced by Victor Luis.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Edson Carioca is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Andre Luis is replaced by Nathan on 46 minute.
  • 51' Mirassol FC have won 87 goals from 66 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Jose Aldo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Carlos Eduardo departs to be replaced by Shaylon.
  • 61' Victor Luis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
  • 65' Luciano Juba makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and EC Bahia are in front.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rogerio Ceni on 66.
  • 69' Mateo Sanabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 69 minute.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Acevedo made 297 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 76' Mirassol FC make a change. Jose Aldo trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Jean Lucas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 80' The whistle greets Everton Ribeiro as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
  • 85' Leo Vieira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 89' Mateo Sanabria does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Rafael Guanaes. He receives a card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC33% Draw27% EC Bahia40%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
60%
Draw or EC Bahia
67%
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC26% Draw44% EC Bahia30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.