Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.
- Grêmio FBPA 28 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Cuiaba EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #5 |
| 29 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 7 / 8 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 43 |
| 38 | Conceded | 35 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.04 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 25% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Grêmio FBPA is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Alfredo Jaconi. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan Ribeiro suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Luciano Rodriguez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' The deadlock is broken! Thaciano gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Gomes. He replaces Alexander Aravena on 46 minute.
- 47' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Nathan Ribeiro is replaced by Nathan on 47 minute.
- 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Carlos De Pena on, Everton Ribeiro off on 62 minutes.
- 65' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 65.
- 67' A moment of madness from Yeferson Soteldo on 67 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 67' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Yeferson Soteldo on, Fabio off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- 76' Thaciano makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 78' Franco Cristaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miguel Monsalve at the 78 minute mark.
- 80' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Thaciano is withdrawn and Iago Borduchi gets his opportunity.
- 85' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Mateo Sanabria scoring 1 goals.
- 86' The crowd applauds Cauly as he leaves the pitch. Luciano Rodriguez steps in for EC Bahia.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nathan on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 97
- 2
- 5
- 19
- 23
- 37
- 46
- 36
- 32
- 11
- 16
Bench
- 14
- 17
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 9
- 53
- 45
- 33
- 35
- 39
- 34
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
- 6
- 10
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 86'
- 13
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Yago Felipe 86'
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 86'
- 31
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 86'
- 52
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
| Rai Nascimento | 1 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or EC Bahia
70%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

