Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Cuiaba EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Aug | CA Paranaense | A | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 20 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -3 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 28% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Grêmio FBPA is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' The 31-year-old Thaciano has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Everton Ribeiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Alfredo Jaconi. Grêmio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Alexander Aravena is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' A goal from the Brazil international Thaciano! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-1!
- 46' Alexander Aravena makes way for Gustavo Gomes at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 47' Nathan is replacing Nathan Ribeiro for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luciano Rodriguez made 8 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' Kanu, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 62' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Carlos De Pena enters on 62.
- 65' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yeferson Soteldo on 67 minutes.
- 67' The crowd applauds Fabio as he leaves the pitch. Yeferson Soteldo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 72' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Costa is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 72.
- 76' What a moment for Thaciano! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 78' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 78 minute. Miguel Monsalve leaves to be changed by Franco Cristaldo.
- 80' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Iago Borduchi comes on to replace Thaciano.
- 85' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 86' Another change for EC Bahia made on 86 minute. Cauly leaves to be changed by Luciano Rodriguez.
- 90' Nathan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Grêmio FBPA and EC Bahia share the spoils 0-2.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 97
- 2
- 5
- 19
- 23
- 37
- 46
- 36
- 32
- 11
- 16
Bench
- 14
- 17
- 30
- 10
- 7
- 9
- 53
- 45
- 33
- 35
- 39
- 34
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
16
Thaciano ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
- 6
- 10
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 86'
- 13
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Yago Felipe 86'
- 46
- 3
Bench
-
20
Yago Felipe ↑ 86'
- 31
- 1
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 62'
- 33
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 86'
- 52
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
| Rai Nascimento | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
68%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

