São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
14 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | São Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 44 | Points | 53 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 50 |
| 39 | Conceded | 45 |
| +0 | GD | +5 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between São Paulo FC and EC Bahia.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Artur Guimaraes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
- 17' A goal from the Brazil international Artur Guimaraes! He fires home on 17 to make it 0-1!
- 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 384 games and scored 418 goals.
- 37' Jean Lucas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Acevedo. He receives a card.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
- 50' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 62' Against the run of play, Luciano Juba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 72' The 27-year-old Nicolas Acevedo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Goal! Ferreira scores his 25 goal in 339 matches.
- 78' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Erick scoring 1 goals.
- 81' Enzo Diaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 86' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Mateo Sanabria gets a card.
- The points are shared — São Paulo FC 2-2 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 37
- 18
- 80
- 9
- 28
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 16
- 94
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 7
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 31
- 4
- 54
- 48
- 14
- 45
Coach
Roger Machado
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 34
- 27
- 11
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Damian Bobadilla | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Lucas Moura | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

