São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | São Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 36 | Points | 46 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 32 | Scored | 43 |
| 30 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 37% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
- 5' Willian Jose is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 17' What a moment for Artur Guimaraes! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 380 games and scored 414 goals.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' Erick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 41' A moment of madness from Nicolas Acevedo on 41 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 45' A moment of madness from Damian Bobadilla on 45 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wendell suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' What a strike from Luciano Juba! The score is 1-1.
- 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 72' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ferreira makes it 2-1.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 81' Enzo Diaz was booked on 81.
- 86' Rafael Monteiro has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 482 appearances.
- 90' Mateo Sanabria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-2 EC Bahia.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 37
- 18
- 80
- 9
- 28
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 16
- 94
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 7
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 31
- 4
- 54
- 48
- 14
- 45
Coach
Roger Machado
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 34
- 27
- 11
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

