Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 10 May 2026 · 22:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 20' Jorginho
Y 45' Evertton

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs CR FlamengoSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Raphael Pires
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
11 Apr SC Internacional A 0–0 D
05 Apr Clube do Remo H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Grêmio FBPA A 0–0 D
03 May CR Vasco da Gama H 2–2 D
26 Apr CA Mineiro A 4–0 W
19 Apr EC Bahia H 2–0 W
12 Apr Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Santos FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA CR Flamengo
#16 Position #2
21 Points 34
18 Played 17
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 4 / 3
20 Scored 31
23 Conceded 16
-3 GD +15
1.17 PPG 2.00
28% Win % 59%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
41% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CR Flamengo are 2nd (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Flamengo
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
CR Flamengo
Pedro 10 G 4 A
Samuel Lino 4 G 6 A
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 3 G 1 A
Lucas Paqueta 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Grêmio FBPA and CR Flamengo has kicked off!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The travelling CR Flamengo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' CR Flamengo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CR Flamengo that had 382 games and scored 595 goals.
  • 30' Gustavo Martins needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' CR Flamengo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 45' CR Flamengo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Erick Noriega made 367 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Flamengo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' CR Flamengo looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 70' CR Flamengo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cristian Pavon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' CR Flamengo is showing some good football. However, CR Flamengo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.74 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA24% Draw30% CR Flamengo46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
54%
Draw or CR Flamengo
76%
Grêmio FBPA or CR Flamengo
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA14% Draw52% CR Flamengo34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 25% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
48%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.