Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–6 | L |
| 06 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 30 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
36%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
7/1
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 9 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka FC get this one started.
- 5' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Akito Suzuki makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 15' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 18' The Japan Shun Ayukawa breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 2-0!
- 23' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' The whistle greets Sho Sasaki as he departs to be replaced by Ju-sung Kim.
- 48' The Japan Akito Suzuki breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-0!
- 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 343 games and scored 446 goals.
- 55' The Japan Shuto Nakano breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 4-0!
- 57' What a strike from Shun Ayukawa! The score is 5-0.
- 62' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Mutsuki Kato trudges off to be replaced by Takumu Kawamura on 62 minutes.
- 63' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Thiago Andrade exits the field as Yumeki Yokoyama enters on 63.
- 65' Pablo Sabbag has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Okuda on 65 minute.
- 68' Sota Koshimichi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yotaro Nakajima at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 75' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Lucas Fernandes has done his job and it is now time for Satoki Uejo to step up.
- 80' GOAL! Shun Ayukawa scores on 80.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Rento Noguchi. He replaces Shun Ayukawa on 81 minute.
- 86' Mutsuki Kato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Sabbag.
- Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Cerezo Osaka FC
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Ju-sung Kim 46'
- 1
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Taishi Matsumoto 62'
- 7
- 4
-
23
Shun Ayukawa ↓ Rento Noguchi 81'
- 5
- 10
- 15
- 35
-
11
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Takumu Kawamura 62'
Bench
- 18
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 62'
-
8
Takumu Kawamura ↑ 62'
- 33
- 99
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 68'
-
37
Ju-sung Kim ↑ 46'
- 45
-
46
Rento Noguchi ↑ 81'
Coach
Bartosch Gaul
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↓ Satoki Uejo 75'
- 36
- 44
- 23
- 10
- 11
- 4
-
15
Javi Hernandez ↓ Ayumu Ohata 63'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Pablo Sabbag 65'
- 9
Bench
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 63'
-
19
Pablo Sabbag ↑ 65'
- 2
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 63'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 75'
- 31
- 17
-
14
Yumeki Yokoyama ↑ 63'
- 97
Coach
Pablo Machín
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2026-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2026-09-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2026-09-02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Nagoya Grampus
W
2026-08-29
Gamba Osaka
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2026-08-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2026-08-15
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
84%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
34%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Cerezo Osaka FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–1 not predicted6 – 1Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
5.8%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.7%
5 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 18% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 19% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

