Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima 26,050 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Yu Hashimoto

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Match Details

  • Referee Koji Takasaki (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Hamamoto
  • Assistant 2
11 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
27 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
22 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L
14 Mar Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
27 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
21 Mar Gamba Osaka H 16–15 W
18 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 5–6 L
15 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L
07 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–5 L
27 Feb Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka
#4 Position #10
30 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
41 Scored 49
33 Conceded 59
+8 GD -10
1.67 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.46 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima52% Draw23% Avispa Fukuoka25%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
75%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
48%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima43% Draw37% Avispa Fukuoka20%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.2%
4 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
23%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.